NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	93		Excitement	2.9 [1197]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (UTA): +16.6%
Utah Jazz	120		Comeback	1.1 [1252]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (MEM): -11.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.01	0.04	13	67%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Marcus Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	12	65%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Sam Young	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	12	59%	0.02	4	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	5	28%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.04
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.02	-0.05	13	28%	-0.04	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.02	-0.01	7	100%	0.18	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.18	0.01	0.08	16	74%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	14	71%	0.13	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	15	69%	0.11	5	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.01	0.05	6	79%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	83%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.02	-0.05	12	38%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	29%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.6	28.3	15.4	25.4	2.6	29.8	128.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +36.4%

UTA +17.9%

MEM -12.5%

UTA +8.6%

MEM -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	14.8	15.4	15.3	97.9	125.0	106.0
season	15.4	15.3		106.8	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.0		104.5	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.5	16.2	16.5	13.2	14.8
UTA	15.8	15.8	14.8	15.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hamed Haddadi	8	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-25	23	12.4	15.0	-2.60	11.4	15.8	-4.39
Steven Hunter	17	18	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	-0.10	1	-28	29	13.6	15.0	-1.42	18.1	14.8	3.27
DeMarre Carroll	38	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.07	-6	-21	15	13.7	15.5	-1.83	14.6	15.9	-1.26
Marcus Williams	47	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-18	9	15.1	14.4	0.77	15.7	15.0	0.71
Marc Gasol	61	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.33	-19	-8	-11	15.8	12.9	2.97	15.5	15.2	0.37
Sam Young	75	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.15	-13	-14	1	14.6	15.2	-0.62	16.2	12.1	4.10
Hasheem Thabeet	26	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.09	-6	-21	15	13.0	15.4	-2.42	16.2	15.0	1.21
Jamaal Tinsley	62	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.22	-20	-7	-13	14.7	14.9	-0.23	14.8	16.4	-1.62
Zach Randolph	67	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.37	-27	0	-27	15.2	13.6	1.58	15.2	15.8	-0.55
O.J. Mayo	74	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.41	-34	7	-41	15.1	13.5	1.65	14.7	18.0	-3.33

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	78	77	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.26	25	2	23	15.2	16.3	-1.15	15.2	13.1	2.10
Carlos Boozer	65	61	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.27	24	3	21	15.7	14.7	1.01	15.3	13.9	1.41
Ronnie Brewer	85	82	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.43	29	-2	31	15.2	16.7	-1.50	14.7	15.0	-0.28
Wesley Matthews	74	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	15	-3	15.9	13.5	2.40	15.3	13.0	2.23
Kyrylo Fesenko	42	43	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	15	-3	13.9	16.6	-2.65	14.1	15.3	-1.17
Eric Maynor	51	53	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.25	15	12	3	15.2	15.6	-0.38	13.5	16.3	-2.78
Mehmet Okur	29	28	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.10	10	17	-7	16.4	15.0	1.41	16.3	14.1	2.22
Paul Millsap	47	49	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.28	11	16	-5	15.3	15.5	-0.28	14.6	15.0	-0.39
Kosta Koufos	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	30	-33	17.6	15.2	2.38	10.6	15.2	-4.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, HOU 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
LAC 93, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
CHI 72, NJN 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%