NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	93		Excitement	2.8 [1161]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +17.0%
Dallas Mavericks	111		Comeback	1.1 [1232]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -10.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	5	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	15	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Michael Olowokandi	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	8	54%	-0.02	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.03
Corey Maggette	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.16	0.00	-0.05	12	39%	-0.07	3	-0.03	12	83%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.04	0.00	12	85%	0.21	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.02	9	64%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	7	100%	0.12	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	8	63%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	9	56%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	16	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	58%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	6	25%	-0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	8	12%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.4	28.4	17.4	24.7	2.4	23.5	125.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +39.2%

DAL +1.9%

DAL +2.6%

DAL +3.9%

DAL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.4	15.5	95.9	115.6	100.9
season	16.1	15.2		99.5	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		101.2	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.8	15.7	17.8	14.6	15.5
DAL	13.9	14.9	12.7	16.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	26	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.24	8	-26	34	14.5	15.8	-1.37	15.2	14.1	1.12
Sean Rooks	20	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.14	-5	-13	8	18.0	14.8	3.19	13.8	14.5	-0.73
Darius Miles	61	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-18	18	14.9	16.4	-1.52	15.5	12.5	2.97
Quentin Richardson	54	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-16	14	15.2	15.8	-0.59	15.2	13.2	2.02
Keyon Dooling	51	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.07	-5	-13	8	15.3	15.6	-0.28	15.1	13.5	1.62
Jeff McInnis	46	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-5	-8	15.6	15.3	0.28	13.5	15.1	-1.62
Cherokee Parks	37	35	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.23	-20	2	-22	16.0	15.1	0.82	12.5	15.5	-2.97
Eric Piatkowski	62	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	-3	-12	16.3	14.0	2.25	12.9	16.7	-3.74
Corey Maggette	78	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	1	-20	15.0	17.4	-2.37	14.9	12.3	2.58
Michael Olowokandi	50	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	1	-20	15.3	15.7	-0.38	14.2	14.6	-0.41

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	64	65	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.25	25	-7	32	13.9	15.3	-1.41	15.4	15.5	-0.05
Michael Finley	60	61	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.33	27	-9	36	13.9	15.2	-1.31	15.2	15.9	-0.63
Dirk Nowitzki	56	59	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.09	18	0	18	13.4	15.7	-2.23	15.7	15.1	0.55
Steve Nash	53	53	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.25	21	-3	24	14.3	14.5	-0.25	15.4	15.5	-0.11
Juwan Howard	65	67	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	0	18	13.5	16.2	-2.69	16.2	13.8	2.41
Greg Buckner	46	46	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	12	-6	15.0	13.8	1.24	15.7	15.3	0.44
Howard Eisley	43	44	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.22	-3	21	-24	14.5	14.3	0.25	15.5	15.4	0.11
Eduardo Najera	19	17	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	21	-24	16.8	13.8	3.01	12.5	16.1	-3.63
Gary Trent	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	16.5	13.9	2.62	15.1	15.5	-0.42
Donnell Harvey	19	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	24	-30	16.1	14.0	2.09	14.9	15.6	-0.71
Mark Bryant	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	17.2	14.2	2.98	13.7	15.5	-1.79
Vernon Maxwell	33	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.28	-10	28	-38	14.7	14.2	0.44	15.9	15.2	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 83, IND 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
MEM 93, UTA 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
PHI 81, ATL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%