inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 96 Excitement3.1 [1146] MVPKevin Martin (HOU): +9.9%
Houston Rockets 113 Comeback1.2 [490] LVPDeron Williams (UTA): -14.5%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Millsap0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.00-0.021154%0.052-0.00250%0.00
Carlos Boozer0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.00-0.001269%0.084-0.062100%0.01
Othyus Jeffers0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03550%0.002-0.002100%-0.00
Sundiata Gaines-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00362%0.001-0.00250%-0.00
Ronnie Price-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.000.03675%0.022-0.0200%0.00
CJ Miles-0.000,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.01860%0.063-0.06450%-0.01
Kosta Koufos-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.070.00-0.06425%-0.002-0.0000%0.00
Mehmet Okur-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.010.00950%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Kyle Korver-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.03-0.010.06762%-0.021-0.02250%-0.00
Wesley Matthews-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.00-0.0350%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Deron Williams-0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.12-0.020.00948%-0.007-0.14786%0.01

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Martin0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.01-0.042057%0.133-0.039100%0.03
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.15-0.010.062262%0.111-0.031100%0.00
Luis Scola0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.120.000.051467%0.112-0.03875%-0.00
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00475%0.0310.0000%0.00
Chase Budinger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.01580%0.022-0.0100%0.00
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02550%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00550%0.0100.00450%-0.01
Jermaine Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0400%0.0020.0000%0.00
Hilton Armstrong00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.100.00-0.0740%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.000.03550%-0.041-0.002100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.732.217.730.61.827.2137.4
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +17.8%
HOU +3.4%
HOU +2.6%
HOU +20.9%
HOU +5.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAHOUNBAUTAHOUNBA
this game14.115.015.396.0115.3106.0
season15.315.0109.5106.0
opponent15.115.0106.1104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA15.212.214.814.414.1
HOU14.814.512.918.415.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Othyus Jeffers2424-0.01-0.490.48-0.196-232913.814.2-0.3218.014.13.95
Sundiata Gaines2727-0.01-0.490.48-0.165-222713.414.3-0.9217.014.32.68
Kosta Koufos2525-0.02-0.480.47-0.051-181913.814.2-0.3217.214.32.93
Ronnie Price3334-0.07-0.430.36-0.349-263514.014.1-0.1614.615.2-0.62
Paul Millsap6161-0.09-0.410.32-0.266-232913.914.4-0.5815.314.60.73
Kyle Korver4643-0.17-0.330.15-0.06-4-13912.915.1-2.2414.715.3-0.62
CJ Miles5859-0.32-0.18-0.130.12-15-2-1314.313.80.5514.316.1-1.80
Carlos Boozer6361-0.41-0.09-0.320.14-192-2114.213.80.3814.615.8-1.23
Deron Williams5855-0.41-0.09-0.330.26-236-2914.114.10.0114.715.4-0.75
Mehmet Okur4947-0.49-0.01-0.480.27-269-3514.613.60.9214.115.8-1.67
Wesley Matthews5654-0.50-0.00-0.500.23-258-3315.112.82.3314.315.9-1.53

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Martin80820.59-0.090.67-0.1525-83314.517.3-2.8314.711.23.49
Trevor Ariza53540.500.000.49-0.1823-62914.415.8-1.4015.112.92.20
Charles Hayes57590.470.030.45-0.1120-32315.714.11.5414.513.41.09
Luis Scola67680.460.040.42-0.1922-52714.216.8-2.5714.014.2-0.11
Aaron Brooks56560.250.250.00-0.13134915.814.01.7913.614.7-1.03
Kyle Lowry61640.160.34-0.170.31-522-2715.414.40.9413.315.5-2.22
Jordan Hill20210.040.46-0.420.07-118-1914.815.1-0.2814.813.90.86
Jared Jeffries48480.030.47-0.450.20-623-2915.414.60.7813.314.8-1.48
Chase Budinger40400.000.50-0.500.12-421-2515.214.90.3513.414.5-1.18
Jermaine Taylor440.000.50-0.500.03-118-1915.715.00.7613.714.1-0.34
Hilton Armstrong440.000.50-0.500.03-118-1915.715.00.7613.714.1-0.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 93, UTA 1200.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
UTA 81, SEA 1130.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
MEM 92, SAS 1120.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%