NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	92		Excitement	3.1 [1172]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +17.4%
San Antonio Spurs	112		Comeback	1.2 [1131]		LVP	Courtney Lee (MEM): -10.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	13	64%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
James Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.14	-0.00	0.10	11	77%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	56%	0.01	1	-0.00	6	50%	0.01
Jon Leuer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Franklin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	125%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	9	38%	-0.02	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	7	25%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.24	0.01	0.08	13	100%	0.18	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.21	0.02	0.08	11	93%	0.17	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	53%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	57%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	6	17%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	70%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	5	42%	0.00	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tiago Splitter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	30.2	16.4	30.2	0.3	27.2	131.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +50.6%

SAS +6.3%

MEM -5.7%

MEM -2.7%

SAS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAS	NBA	MEM	SAS	NBA
this game	15.7	14.8	15.1	96.8	119.1	105.2
season	16.4	15.0		104.5	109.8
opponent	15.0	15.2		101.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.0	16.3	17.4	13.9	15.7
SAS	15.0	13.0	14.5	16.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed Davis	47	46	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.30	11	-31	42	14.0	17.3	-3.38	15.1	14.5	0.55
Jamaal Franklin	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-18	16	12.7	16.0	-3.32	16.3	14.6	1.75
Kosta Koufos	35	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-24	28	15.3	15.9	-0.55	14.8	14.8	-0.00
Jon Leuer	14	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.18	-7	-13	6	13.4	16.0	-2.62	15.4	14.7	0.64
Nick Calathes	36	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-22	24	14.2	16.5	-2.28	14.9	14.7	0.17
Beno Udrih	24	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.16	-8	-12	4	13.4	16.4	-3.06	16.7	14.2	2.50
Mike Miller	22	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-15	10	15.1	15.8	-0.69	13.3	15.2	-1.92
James Johnson	66	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-21	22	15.3	16.6	-1.28	14.2	16.0	-1.75
Tony Allen	25	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.23	-16	-4	-12	16.2	15.5	0.67	15.2	14.7	0.48
Mike Conley	58	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-9	-2	16.9	13.7	3.26	14.6	15.1	-0.49
Marc Gasol	48	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.15	-20	0	-20	17.2	14.1	3.04	14.7	14.9	-0.16
Courtney Lee	44	44	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	0.23	-23	3	-26	17.4	14.2	3.17	14.8	14.8	0.06
Zach Randolph	45	44	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.24	-26	6	-32	17.1	14.3	2.79	14.4	15.1	-0.71

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	54	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	3	14	14.4	15.4	-0.99	16.9	14.0	2.88
Boris Diaw	37	39	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.18	19	1	18	13.8	15.4	-1.60	15.8	15.6	0.27
Kawhi Leonard	56	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	7	6	14.6	15.1	-0.54	16.0	15.1	0.87
Manu Ginobili	52	50	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.15	16	4	12	14.6	15.1	-0.48	15.5	15.8	-0.34
Cory Joseph	38	39	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.18	14	6	8	14.8	14.8	0.06	17.0	14.7	2.31
Tony Parker	19	18	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.10	11	9	2	15.9	14.5	1.36	14.9	15.8	-0.89
Danny Green	34	34	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	16	-12	15.0	14.7	0.30	17.1	14.9	2.22
Tiago Splitter	34	34	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	14	-8	15.5	14.4	1.13	16.8	15.0	1.81
Marco Belinelli	40	41	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	23	-26	14.6	15.0	-0.36	14.5	16.6	-2.11
Patty Mills	41	42	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	14	-8	14.8	14.8	0.04	14.4	16.6	-2.21
Matt Bonner	25	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	24	-28	15.7	14.5	1.19	14.4	16.1	-1.71
Austin Daye	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	18	-16	16.3	14.6	1.75	12.7	16.0	-3.32
Jeff Ayres	28	28	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	21	-22	14.7	14.9	-0.19	14.0	16.4	-2.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 103, ORL 114	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
NOH 88, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
OKC 100, LAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.75,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.9%