NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	99		Excitement	3.8 [1017]		MVP	Voshon Lenard (MIA): +11.3%
Miami Heat	125		Comeback	1.1 [1230]		LVP	Ike Austin (MIA): -5.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	14	70%	0.08	3	-0.05	9	78%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	71%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Scott Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	4	82%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Mark Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.07	3	87%	0.07	5	-0.05	2	100%	-0.00
Doug Overton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	17	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	13	62%	0.01
Michael Cage	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Caldwell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	13	41%	-0.02	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Rex Walters	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	9	28%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.18	-0.01	0.06	13	92%	0.19	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.02	0.03	14	69%	0.11	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	12	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.02	-0.07	14	47%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.01	-0.06	12	54%	0.07	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	4	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Ed Pinckney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	33%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Askins	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.3	29.1	14.8	28.5	2.0	25.0	124.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +49.1%

PHI -8.6%

MIA +3.6%

MIA +1.4%

MIA +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	15.3	15.3	15.6	106.5	131.6	104.4
season	14.7	15.8		101.4	103.1
opponent	16.3	14.7		98.3	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.9	14.5	17.2	13.7	15.3
MIA	16.1	15.5	12.8	16.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Davis	52	52	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.24	-8	-18	10	14.6	16.2	-1.54	16.2	14.3	1.96
Doug Overton	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-25	24	12.3	15.8	-3.56	16.4	15.1	1.21
Adrian Caldwell	32	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.13	-7	-19	12	15.9	15.0	0.86	16.1	14.9	1.23
Don MacLean	50	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.18	-9	-17	8	15.0	15.7	-0.72	15.3	15.4	-0.07
Lucious Harris	48	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	-18	10	15.4	15.3	0.09	16.7	13.7	3.02
Scott Williams	40	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	-19	12	13.8	16.4	-2.61	15.1	15.5	-0.36
Michael Cage	21	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-14	2	17.3	14.7	2.55	14.4	15.6	-1.17
Allen Iverson	48	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.16	-16	-10	-6	15.8	14.8	1.08	14.2	16.5	-2.34
Clar. Weatherspoon	53	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.03	-17	-9	-8	15.6	14.9	0.72	14.5	16.4	-1.90
Rex Walters	44	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.09	-19	-7	-12	16.2	14.5	1.74	15.5	15.1	0.38
Jerry Stackhouse	63	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.26	-26	0	-26	15.5	15.0	0.51	14.7	16.6	-1.86

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway	58	56	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.22	25	1	24	14.6	16.5	-1.90	15.7	14.7	0.97
Alonzo Mourning	67	67	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.39	31	-5	36	14.5	17.3	-2.78	15.9	13.8	2.14
P.J. Brown	57	56	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.05	18	8	10	14.3	16.8	-2.53	15.4	15.2	0.20
Voshon Lenard	62	61	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.21	23	3	20	15.1	15.7	-0.61	15.5	14.9	0.62
Jamal Mashburn	62	59	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.19	16	10	6	16.3	13.5	2.78	15.2	15.6	-0.39
Keith Askins	31	32	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	17	-8	13.9	16.0	-2.16	16.7	14.6	2.10
John Crotty	39	39	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	24	-22	15.8	15.0	0.75	14.6	15.8	-1.20
Willie Anderson	28	27	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	23	-20	16.2	14.9	1.31	14.5	15.6	-1.12
Ike Austin	35	33	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.25	9	17	-8	16.1	14.9	1.16	16.2	14.8	1.40
Mark Strickland	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	28	-30	17.0	15.0	2.04	12.5	15.9	-3.40
Ed Pinckney	19	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	30	-34	18.3	14.6	3.74	12.6	16.0	-3.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 83, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
LAC 81, GSW 88	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
MIA 69, SAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%