NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	91		Excitement	3.2 [1162]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +20.8%
Washington Wizards	117		Comeback	1.1 [1064]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): -10.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.12	0.00	-0.12	7	31%	-0.00	4	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Al Harrington	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	19	55%	0.07	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.02
David Harrison	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rawle Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.04	3	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	7	56%	0.02	5	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Josh Powell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	7	30%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Danny Granger	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.03	11	43%	-0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.11	0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.02	-0.04	9	25%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.30	0.02	0.12	20	82%	0.23	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.01
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.06	0.01	4	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	11	70%	0.09	3	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	53%	0.02	3	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donell Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	6	21%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.05	5	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	33.6	15.7	30.3	2.3	30.6	138.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +22.3%

WAS +11.4%

IND -0.3%

WAS +17.1%

IND -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	14.1	14.1	15.4	88.3	115.8	104.5
season	15.3	14.8		101.3	107.8
opponent	15.3	15.3		108.7	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.5	13.9	15.9	12.1	14.1
WAS	13.7	14.9	12.3	15.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	25	26	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.28	-7	-19	12	18.7	12.6	6.04	15.0	13.8	1.23
Sarunas Jasikevicius	40	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-27	28	12.6	15.1	-2.50	14.7	13.8	0.85
Rawle Marshall	43	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-30	34	14.9	13.6	1.29	14.9	13.4	1.51
David Harrison	37	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-23	20	12.8	14.8	-2.06	15.5	13.3	2.16
Marquis Daniels	39	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.35	-16	-10	-6	16.7	12.5	4.12	14.1	14.1	0.00
Josh Powell	53	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-15	4	13.0	15.2	-2.20	13.3	14.9	-1.60
Jeff Foster	39	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-15	4	16.0	12.9	3.09	13.4	14.6	-1.25
Danny Granger	61	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-20	14	13.6	14.8	-1.23	14.1	14.2	-0.13
Stephen Jackson	53	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.18	-22	-4	-18	13.1	15.2	-2.16	13.8	14.5	-0.69
Al Harrington	66	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.44	-31	5	-36	13.8	14.6	-0.80	14.1	14.2	-0.12
Jamaal Tinsley	59	55	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.25	-28	2	-30	13.3	15.2	-1.96	13.4	15.0	-1.56

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	53	52	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.39	34	-8	42	12.9	15.4	-2.49	13.4	14.8	-1.34
Etan Thomas	49	53	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.43	33	-7	40	12.0	16.1	-4.06	14.5	13.6	0.91
Gilbert Arenas	65	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.61	38	-12	50	13.6	15.1	-1.48	15.3	11.7	3.54
Antawn Jamison	69	71	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.41	31	-5	36	12.7	17.3	-4.66	14.7	12.7	2.06
Caron Butler	56	57	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.25	25	1	24	12.7	15.9	-3.21	15.1	12.9	2.16
Andray Blatche	39	40	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	25	-24	14.5	13.9	0.67	12.6	15.1	-2.50
Michael Ruffin	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	26	-26	24.8	13.5	11.38	15.2	14.0	1.13
Roger Mason Jr.	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	34	-42	15.3	13.9	1.34	12.1	14.4	-2.27
Donell Taylor	20	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	35	-44	14.9	13.9	0.96	10.7	14.9	-4.20
Antonio Daniels	32	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.23	7	19	-12	16.3	13.1	3.20	15.0	13.7	1.29
Jarvis Hayes	52	51	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.32	-12	38	-50	16.0	12.1	3.90	13.4	14.8	-1.45
Brendan Haywood	50	49	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.20	-10	36	-46	16.2	12.1	4.02	13.8	14.4	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 81, GSW 88	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
MIA 69, SAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
HOU 88, PHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%