NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	82		Excitement	2.9 [1179]		MVP	Jarrett Jack (POR): +12.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	102		Comeback	1.0 [723]		LVP	Joel Przybilla (POR): -6.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	8	69%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.04	8	70%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Darius Songaila	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.04	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	31%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Caron Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	20	42%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Andray Blatche	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	5	57%	-0.00	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	13	30%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.01	-0.03	10	77%	0.14	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.18	0.01	0.06	14	79%	0.14	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.01	-0.03	16	56%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	8	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.02	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	83%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	3	46%	-0.01	6	-0.06	7	57%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.7	26.0	14.8	26.1	1.8	28.3	126.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +38.6%

POR +4.7%

POR +8.8%

WAS -2.7%

POR +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	POR	NBA	WAS	POR	NBA
this game	17.2	17.1	15.4	95.3	124.4	105.7
season	16.1	16.7		106.8	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.5		106.1	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.8	18.8	15.3	17.1	17.2
POR	13.9	18.1	15.3	21.7	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	21	21	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-25	30	17.3	17.2	0.18	21.4	15.6	5.77
Andray Blatche	28	27	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-24	28	17.2	17.2	0.08	20.0	15.7	4.29
Roger Mason Jr.	35	34	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-20	20	17.7	16.9	0.77	20.7	14.5	6.19
Oleksiy Pecherov	5	5	-0.01	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-18	16	16.0	17.3	-1.27	18.6	17.0	1.61
Dominic McGuire	22	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-21	22	16.0	17.6	-1.67	21.2	15.5	5.68
Nick Young	26	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-20	20	15.7	17.8	-2.16	20.2	15.5	4.68
Antawn Jamison	66	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	-2	-16	17.1	17.5	-0.46	15.9	20.6	-4.69
Antonio Daniels	66	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.00	-16	-4	-12	17.4	16.6	0.78	16.1	20.2	-4.07
Brendan Haywood	40	37	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.16	-23	3	-26	17.7	16.7	1.03	13.9	19.7	-5.87
DeShawn Stevenson	55	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.05	-20	0	-20	16.9	17.7	-0.85	14.5	21.4	-6.97
Caron Butler	66	61	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	0.30	-31	11	-42	17.8	15.1	2.73	15.6	21.4	-5.84

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	64	70	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.23	25	-5	30	15.8	21.7	-5.87	17.9	14.1	3.85
Martell Webster	65	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	5	10	15.7	22.2	-6.50	17.3	16.6	0.70
Jarrett Jack	55	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.19	18	2	16	17.8	15.6	2.17	17.7	16.1	1.62
Raef LaFrentz	33	32	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	14	-8	17.6	16.8	0.82	16.5	17.6	-1.06
Steve Blake	48	52	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.29	19	1	18	15.3	19.6	-4.33	16.8	17.8	-0.99
James Jones	42	42	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	14	-8	19.8	14.2	5.54	17.3	17.1	0.22
Joel Przybilla	41	44	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.27	16	4	12	16.9	17.3	-0.46	17.5	16.9	0.57
Brandon Roy	24	26	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.05	8	12	-4	15.4	17.8	-2.36	18.0	16.9	1.09
Sergio Rodriguez	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	24	-28	24.4	16.4	8.03	13.3	17.5	-4.15
Von Wafer	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	22	-24	19.0	17.0	2.04	12.0	17.5	-5.45
Channing Frye	26	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.17	-7	27	-34	20.0	15.7	4.27	15.6	17.9	-2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 81, GSW 88	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
UTA 85, CHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
LAC 92, PHI 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%