NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	106		Excitement	6.4 [552]		MVP	James Harden (OKC): +47.8%
Dallas Mavericks	100		Comeback	2.4 [222]		LVP	Jason Terry (DAL): -11.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.48	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48	0.24	0.24	0.00	9	88%	0.48	0	0.00	8	87%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.10	0.00	3	133%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	9	62%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	23	49%	0.11	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	2	75%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	15	53%	0.00	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	8	69%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	17	66%	0.20	3	-0.09	10	90%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	58%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	10	59%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	13	32%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	9	40%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.8	3.5	34.3	18.7	27.1	2.7	40.0	157.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +52.5%

OKC +2.5%

DAL -3.1%

DAL -2.9%

OKC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	DAL	NBA	OKC	DAL	NBA
this game	16.6	16.1	15.5	121.8	112.4	105.7
season	15.0	15.7		108.8	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.6		103.8	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.6	16.6	16.7	17.7	16.6
DAL	14.5	16.1	18.4	15.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Maynor	36	38	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.24	18	-12	30	16.6	16.6	0.03	15.3	16.7	-1.44
Daequan Cook	28	28	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.29	11	-5	16	17.4	16.2	1.19	16.7	15.9	0.83
Nick Collison	47	49	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.27	10	-4	14	16.6	16.6	-0.05	15.9	16.4	-0.52
James Harden	59	61	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.11	14	-8	22	17.1	15.7	1.34	15.2	18.0	-2.81
Kevin Durant	79	82	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.37	-2	8	-10	16.8	14.6	2.20	16.0	18.0	-2.05
Serge Ibaka	52	54	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	3	0	16.2	17.3	-1.06	16.1	16.1	0.04
Nazr Mohammed	3	3	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	1	4	18.3	16.6	1.77	12.7	16.2	-3.57
Kendrick Perkins	44	44	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.19	-8	14	-22	16.5	16.8	-0.29	17.1	15.1	1.98
Thabo Sefolosha	36	35	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.15	-9	15	-24	15.5	17.4	-1.86	16.9	15.6	1.32
Russell Westbrook	51	51	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.08	-12	18	-30	16.6	16.6	-0.03	16.7	15.3	1.44

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	45	45	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.04	2	-8	10	16.5	15.7	0.85	16.3	16.9	-0.60
Peja Stojakovic	36	35	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.09	0	-6	6	15.7	16.4	-0.70	16.3	16.9	-0.61
Ian Mahinmi	4	3	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	0	-6	15.7	16.1	-0.38	10.3	16.8	-6.51
Brendan Haywood	16	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	1	-8	15.9	16.2	-0.29	16.6	16.6	0.03
Tyson Chandler	69	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.39	7	-13	20	16.2	15.8	0.34	16.9	15.5	1.36
Jose Juan Barea	31	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	6	-18	16.5	15.9	0.57	16.1	16.8	-0.70
Jason Terry	54	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	0	-6	14.7	18.2	-3.49	17.0	16.0	0.93
Jason Kidd	65	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-4	2	16.3	15.5	0.78	16.8	16.0	0.78
DeShawn Stevenson	50	49	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.50	0	-6	6	16.9	15.1	1.75	16.8	16.4	0.35
Dirk Nowitzki	75	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.39	-6	0	-6	16.2	15.6	0.56	16.6	16.7	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.71,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.1,0.01,0.03,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 110, MIN 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.03,0.07,0,0,0	93.4%
GSW 107, DAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.27,0.18,0.24,0.31,0.19,0.03,0,0,0	92.9%
LAC 119, NJN 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.57,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.31,0.24,0.31,0.19,0.15,0.05,0.02,0	92.8%