NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	82		Excitement	4.6 [940]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +10.3%
Dallas Mavericks	93		Comeback	2.0 [743]		LVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): -14.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	14	60%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Nicolas Batum	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	15	40%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Earl Barron	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Armon Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	4	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	31%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	0.06	11	57%	-0.05	4	-0.06	6	100%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.03	-0.07	18	51%	0.13	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.02	4	70%	0.09	2	-0.01	12	67%	-0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.02	-0.05	18	53%	0.11	3	-0.04	11	82%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	14	47%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	60%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Brian Cardinal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	7	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.01	7	25%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.5	28.9	16.6	30.8	2.0	31.0	136.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -1.9%

DAL +19.8%

DAL +18.9%

DAL +12.3%

DAL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	16.3	16.8	15.5	94.3	106.9	105.7
season	16.5	15.7		106.7	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.7		103.8	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.9	17.3	15.7	15.5	16.3
DAL	16.6	16.2	15.6	18.8	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Johnson	11	13	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.15	12	-23	35	11.1	17.1	-6.00	18.2	16.5	1.63
Earl Barron	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-11	11	0.0	16.3	-16.33	18.0	16.8	1.24
Patty Mills	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	5.0	16.6	-11.60	21.5	16.7	4.84
Armon Johnson	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-11	11	0.0	16.3	-16.33	18.0	16.8	1.24
Marcus Camby	39	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-13	15	15.6	16.9	-1.25	15.4	17.9	-2.49
Rudy Fernandez	22	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.11	1	-12	13	17.3	16.0	1.32	15.6	17.2	-1.58
Gerald Wallace	62	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	-3	-5	16.0	17.3	-1.33	17.1	16.0	1.04
Wesley Matthews	65	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	-4	-3	16.1	17.0	-0.89	17.3	15.3	1.94
Brandon Roy	48	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	7	-25	17.1	15.4	1.72	15.8	17.9	-2.14
Nicolas Batum	55	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.20	-7	-4	-3	16.2	16.6	-0.36	17.4	15.7	1.76
Andre Miller	57	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	0	-11	16.8	15.5	1.32	17.2	15.9	1.33
LaMarcus Aldridge	74	72	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.04	-21	10	-31	17.3	11.1	6.18	16.5	17.9	-1.41

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	66	67	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.07	18	-7	25	16.9	16.2	0.70	16.2	16.9	-0.74
Shawn Marion	58	58	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-2	15	16.8	16.7	0.12	16.4	16.2	0.14
Tyson Chandler	62	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	0	11	17.6	14.7	2.88	16.3	16.5	-0.17
Jason Terry	58	60	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	3	5	17.4	15.6	1.78	16.2	16.7	-0.54
Dirk Nowitzki	65	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	7	-3	16.9	16.4	0.48	16.1	17.2	-1.13
Peja Stojakovic	45	45	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	4	3	16.5	17.0	-0.54	17.2	15.4	1.80
Brendan Haywood	24	24	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	11	-11	14.6	17.6	-3.02	16.5	16.3	0.17
DeShawn Stevenson	26	24	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.04	1	10	-9	15.4	17.4	-1.98	16.4	16.3	0.06
Corey Brewer	2	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	9.0	17.0	-7.95	0.0	16.3	-16.33
Ian Mahinmi	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	18.0	16.8	1.24	0.0	16.3	-16.33
Brian Cardinal	1	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	11	-11	18.0	16.8	1.24	25.0	16.2	8.77
Jose Juan Barea	27	26	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.13	-7	18	-25	17.0	16.7	0.33	15.8	16.5	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 71, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.69,0.82,0.77,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
POR 82, SEA 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
SAS 64, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%