NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	71		Excitement	4.9 [850]		MVP	Udonis Haslem (MIA): +10.8%
Miami Heat	93		Comeback	2.0 [943]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): -14.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Oleksiy Pecherov	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	8	31%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	13	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Dominic McGuire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Juan Dixon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	7	29%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.04	14	56%	0.06	6	-0.15	4	75%	-0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.05	0.03	22	44%	-0.07	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	8	70%	0.16	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	6	71%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.04	-0.03	13	57%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.04	0.01	13	53%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	10	45%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	16	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	6	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.6	25.3	15.5	24.6	1.8	27.8	121.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +41.9%

MIA +5.4%

WAS -16.0%

MIA +19.9%

WAS -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIA	NBA	WAS	MIA	NBA
this game	16.6	15.3	15.5	78.9	102.2	106.4
season	15.9	16.0		103.5	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.2		105.7	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.2	15.9	16.1	17.2	16.6
MIA	14.1	14.8	12.7	20.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	36	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.20	-10	-12	2	16.6	16.5	0.14	16.4	14.5	1.86
Mike James	62	62	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-22	22	16.7	16.2	0.55	14.5	17.0	-2.48
JaVale McGee	32	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.16	-10	-12	2	16.4	16.7	-0.28	16.1	14.8	1.28
Javaris Crittenton	15	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.13	-9	-13	4	13.9	17.1	-3.15	16.6	15.0	1.64
Juan Dixon	32	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	-9	-4	17.0	16.3	0.64	16.7	14.5	2.28
Oleksiy Pecherov	13	15	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.28	-18	-4	-14	15.8	16.7	-0.92	18.3	14.7	3.66
Caron Butler	77	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-12	2	16.3	18.2	-1.96	14.8	18.1	-3.31
Darius Songaila	59	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.14	-5	-17	12	16.8	16.0	0.80	14.8	16.2	-1.46
Dominic McGuire	44	44	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	-7	-8	17.0	16.2	0.78	14.8	15.7	-0.88
Antawn Jamison	80	80	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.05	-20	-2	-18	16.8	14.9	1.86	14.7	19.3	-4.55

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Anthony	59	58	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.20	28	-6	34	15.8	14.2	1.58	16.4	16.7	-0.30
Mario Chalmers	58	58	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.03	19	3	16	13.1	19.1	-5.99	16.5	16.7	-0.16
Daequan Cook	53	53	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.05	20	2	18	14.7	16.0	-1.29	16.5	16.6	-0.02
Dwyane Wade	60	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	13	-4	13.2	19.2	-5.94	16.2	17.3	-1.17
Udonis Haslem	54	53	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	17	-12	13.2	18.3	-5.09	16.5	16.7	-0.20
Michael Beasley	46	46	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.20	12	10	2	17.2	13.3	3.88	16.8	16.3	0.46
James Jones	34	34	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.17	7	15	-8	19.4	12.8	6.56	16.8	16.4	0.43
Chris Quinn	30	29	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.23	9	13	-4	18.9	13.5	5.36	17.2	16.3	0.91
Jamaal Magloire	23	23	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	23	-24	14.9	15.4	-0.54	16.6	16.6	0.01
Yakhouba Diawara	38	37	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.10	2	20	-18	16.0	14.7	1.29	16.6	16.5	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.69,0.82,0.77,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 92, NYK 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
UTA 108, DAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
POR 82, DAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%