inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 108 Excitement4.4 [957] MVPMike James (DAL): +19.5%
Dallas Mavericks 113 Comeback2.1 [815] LVPDerrick Favors (UTA): -10.8%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Randy Foye0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.020.00867%0.0900.00250%-0.02
Paul Millsap0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.011165%0.102-0.051100%0.01
Enes Kanter0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.02977%0.093-0.04475%-0.00
Gordon Hayward0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,00.01-0.010.00962%0.063-0.063100%0.00
Jeremy Evans0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jamaal Tinsley0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeMarre Carroll-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000100%0.001-0.002100%0.00
Al Jefferson-0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.05-0.020.041254%-0.0100.00475%-0.00
Mo Williams-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.06-0.02-0.061050%0.044-0.0600%0.00
Alec Burks-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.030.060.000.09958%-0.0300.001100%0.00
Marvin Williams-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.010.01617%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Derrick Favors-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.02644%-0.025-0.09475%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.110.06-0.031086%0.233-0.032100%0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.080.03-0.041363%0.171-0.021100%0.00
Elton Brand0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.010.005100%0.1100.0000%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.030.02879%0.131-0.03367%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.03862%0.082-0.068100%0.05
Bernard James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Anthony Morrow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.0010%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.020100%0.002-0.012100%0.00
Darren Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01462%0.023-0.031385%0.01
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.030.02771%0.052-0.0600%0.00
Chris Kaman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.00367%0.023-0.0800%0.00
Brandan Wright0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.11-0.01-0.041129%-0.062-0.02250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.11.626.316.426.82.045.2141.4
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +38.1%
DAL +11.9%
UTA -0.1%
UTA -0.8%
DAL +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTADALNBAUTADALNBA
this game15.413.915.4108.0117.7104.1
season16.014.5104.6104.3
opponent15.615.1105.0105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA15.917.618.811.115.4
DAL14.112.415.513.913.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeMarre Carroll1311-0.00-0.500.50-0.3813-18317.316.6-9.3213.714.0-0.24
Jeremy Evans1311-0.00-0.500.50-0.3813-18317.316.6-9.3213.714.0-0.24
Alec Burks2121-0.09-0.410.32-0.359-142311.416.5-5.0512.314.4-2.05
Mo Williams7269-0.11-0.390.280.01-4-1-316.412.93.5114.213.30.94
Paul Millsap5554-0.12-0.380.27-0.120-5516.913.63.3914.013.80.19
Enes Kanter5147-0.15-0.350.20-0.274-91313.417.5-4.0612.715.1-2.42
Gordon Hayward8985-0.23-0.270.04-0.323-81115.118.1-3.0013.715.5-1.71
Jamaal Tinsley76-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.00-105-1517.315.32.0116.513.82.73
Al Jefferson4949-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.09-94-1317.513.44.0615.112.72.42
Marvin Williams4746-0.38-0.12-0.260.09-1611-2716.014.91.1713.314.5-1.22
Derrick Favors3231-0.38-0.12-0.270.15-1813-3116.115.10.9913.914.0-0.10
Randy Foye5150-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.10-105-1517.513.34.2214.912.92.01

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter41450.55-0.050.60-0.1524-194312.914.7-1.8916.314.71.58
Elton Brand34320.490.010.480.0216-112714.513.60.9217.814.33.52
Mike James62650.460.040.420.49-16-714.512.91.6815.615.00.65
Jae Crowder44460.290.210.070.49-712-1913.714.1-0.3914.016.6-2.55
Dirk Nowitzki51480.250.250.010.1150514.812.91.9317.713.34.48
Shawn Marion59630.220.28-0.05-0.1312-71913.514.7-1.2016.413.82.55
O.J. Mayo70700.160.34-0.190.1023-114.612.22.4516.113.82.31
Brandan Wright43450.100.40-0.300.13-16-715.512.72.7715.715.20.53
Darren Collison47500.040.46-0.420.30-914-2313.414.4-0.9613.117.7-4.60
Bernard James690.000.50-0.500.21-712-197.314.4-7.044.616.5-11.94
Anthony Morrow690.000.50-0.500.21-712-197.314.4-7.044.616.5-11.94
Chris Kaman1718-0.070.57-0.63-0.01-27-912.114.3-2.2816.015.30.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 80, DAL 1070.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.77,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%
PHI 85, IND 1020.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.8%
CHI 79, MIA 930.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.61,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.7%