inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 80 Excitement4.9 [851] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +18.4%
Dallas Mavericks 107 Comeback2.3 [780] LVPAntawn Jamison (WAS): -14.6%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antonio Daniels0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.00-0.02656%0.052-0.026100%0.01
DeShawn Stevenson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.010.01762%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Donell Taylor0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06520%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Etan Thomas-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00545%-0.0000.001100%0.00
Gilbert Arenas-0.000,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.01-0.022548%0.063-0.061182%0.00
Andray Blatche-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00050%0.001-0.02250%-0.01
Jarvis Hayes-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.0220%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Michael Ruffin-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.0010%-0.0500.0020%-0.05
Caron Butler-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.01-0.00955%0.034-0.084100%0.02
Antawn Jamison-0.150,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.07-0.030.041236%-0.092-0.051100%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.130.060.011968%0.233-0.046100%0.03
Devin Harris0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.010.011364%0.102-0.02250%-0.01
Greg Buckner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.030.04869%0.0700.0000%0.00
Austin Croshere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.010.011161%0.041-0.001100%0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Maurice Ager0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pops Mensah-Bonsu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.01625%-0.0500.004100%0.01
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.000.01430%-0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Jason Terry0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.100.01-0.030.081850%-0.062-0.0400%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.13-0.02-0.021423%-0.121-0.002100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.32.430.216.527.21.827.2131.6
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +15.3%
DAL +0.9%
DAL +18.7%
DAL +16.5%
WAS -1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASDALNBAWASDALNBA
this game14.217.315.487.9116.3104.5
season14.816.3107.8108.7
opponent15.215.3102.3108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS12.012.415.916.814.2
DAL18.017.619.114.517.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Etan Thomas34340.16-0.660.83-0.078-354313.314.7-1.3719.116.22.88
Donell Taylor1011-0.00-0.500.500.21-7-201319.913.46.4613.817.8-3.96
Roger Mason Jr.1717-0.01-0.490.490.26-9-18916.213.72.5614.517.9-3.40
Brendan Haywood1112-0.08-0.420.340.04-4-231913.014.3-1.3118.717.11.66
Andray Blatche2020-0.10-0.400.300.19-10-17716.913.43.5215.117.9-2.82
Jarvis Hayes1716-0.11-0.390.290.19-10-17714.214.10.1016.617.4-0.82
DeShawn Stevenson5353-0.13-0.370.240.13-9-18913.614.9-1.3617.117.6-0.45
Gilbert Arenas6970-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.10-7-201313.117.4-4.2918.214.43.81
Antawn Jamison7069-0.32-0.18-0.150.15-16-11-513.416.6-3.1417.716.01.68
Michael Ruffin1618-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.12-11-16517.213.53.6817.817.20.66
Caron Butler7575-0.550.05-0.600.24-270-2714.015.0-1.0317.118.0-0.85
Antonio Daniels6365-0.620.12-0.740.35-336-3914.313.80.5317.018.0-0.98

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeSagana Diop47460.69-0.190.87-0.3134-74116.917.7-0.8016.112.23.91
Jason Terry74740.57-0.070.64-0.2829-23117.416.70.7214.014.8-0.82
Devin Harris46450.52-0.020.54-0.182432117.317.30.0914.813.51.37
Dirk Nowitzki73730.370.130.25-0.181981118.014.73.3013.516.6-3.06
Greg Buckner54520.310.190.130.08819-1117.716.71.0113.415.2-1.84
Jerry Stackhouse53560.200.30-0.09-0.351981117.217.5-0.3213.714.8-1.05
Austin Croshere43410.110.39-0.28-0.271314-115.419.0-3.6313.414.8-1.43
Maurice Ager760.000.50-0.50-0.03126-2513.317.6-4.3520.713.76.97
Pops Mensah-Bonsu540.000.50-0.500.06-229-3113.217.5-4.3422.213.88.47
Jose Juan Barea760.000.50-0.50-0.03126-2513.317.6-4.3520.713.76.97
Anthony Johnson3535-0.130.63-0.76-0.04-330-3318.116.81.3112.914.9-1.97
Erick Dampier1617-0.150.65-0.800.08-835-4321.816.45.4612.014.6-2.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.77,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 92, NYK 1130.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
UTA 108, DAL 1130.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%
94.7%