NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	92		Excitement	5.1 [821]		MVP	Channing Frye (NYK): +19.6%
New York Knicks	113		Comeback	1.8 [870]		LVP	Antonio Daniels (WAS): -16.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	17	56%	0.05	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Calvin Booth	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donell Taylor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	4	70%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.02	13	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
Gilbert Arenas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	18	54%	0.07	4	-0.09	5	60%	-0.02
Chucky Atkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	9	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Jared Jeffries	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	4	10%	-0.07	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.25	0.06	0.11	13	88%	0.22	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	12	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.08	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Jackie Butler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	16	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	67%	0.07	7	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	75%	0.04	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	0.05	8	40%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.6	29.2	16.5	33.7	2.0	29.0	136.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +48.7%

WAS -2.5%

NYK +19.2%

WAS -11.0%

WAS -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	14.4	15.6	15.6	95.8	117.7	104.4
season	15.1	15.7		107.4	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.6		108.7	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	11.9	15.5	16.5	13.9	14.4
NYK	15.2	15.1	13.5	18.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andray Blatche	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	12.0	14.7	-2.74	18.9	15.1	3.77
Donell Taylor	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	12.0	14.7	-2.74	18.9	15.1	3.77
Jared Jeffries	23	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-19	17	13.4	14.8	-1.36	17.0	15.1	1.96
Brendan Haywood	42	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-20	19	14.6	14.3	0.30	16.4	14.9	1.48
Calvin Booth	24	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-19	17	13.3	14.8	-1.46	12.0	16.7	-4.71
Gilbert Arenas	70	69	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.23	-12	-9	-3	14.1	15.4	-1.31	15.4	16.1	-0.70
Caron Butler	72	72	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.11	-10	-11	1	13.6	16.8	-3.15	16.2	13.7	2.54
Michael Ruffin	27	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-15	9	15.4	14.0	1.36	13.8	16.3	-2.50
Etan Thomas	30	30	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	-3	-15	15.1	14.1	0.93	17.2	14.8	2.42
Antonio Daniels	56	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-9	-3	14.6	14.2	0.39	14.3	17.3	-3.04
Chucky Atkins	40	42	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.14	-21	0	-21	16.3	13.1	3.17	15.1	15.9	-0.85
Antawn Jamison	74	73	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.23	-25	4	-29	15.1	12.2	2.91	15.6	15.6	-0.05

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	56	55	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.06	22	-1	23	14.5	17.0	-2.53	14.4	14.5	-0.15
Trevor Ariza	61	60	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.15	24	-3	27	15.0	16.7	-1.71	13.6	15.7	-2.12
Channing Frye	50	49	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.11	20	1	19	15.6	15.5	0.14	15.6	13.2	2.38
Stephon Marbury	76	77	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.06	18	3	15	15.3	16.7	-1.42	14.5	14.1	0.47
Qyntel Woods	36	36	0.39	0.12	0.27	-0.11	17	4	13	15.1	15.8	-0.69	15.7	13.7	2.03
Nate Robinson	67	68	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.13	8	13	-5	16.1	14.3	1.76	14.3	14.7	-0.41
Jackie Butler	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	20.2	15.3	4.88	14.7	14.4	0.26
Antonio Davis	30	30	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	19	-17	16.8	15.0	1.83	13.8	14.7	-0.91
David Lee	48	47	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	25	-29	16.4	14.7	1.69	14.5	14.4	0.12
Eddy Curry	51	52	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	24	-27	15.5	15.7	-0.22	13.7	15.2	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 71, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.69,0.82,0.77,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
		95.2%
CHI 79, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.61,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%