NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	85		Excitement	5.0 [800]		MVP	Marquis Daniels (IND): +8.2%
Indiana Pacers	102		Comeback	1.7 [846]		LVP	Reggie Evans (PHI): -10.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	15	41%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	5	17%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.01	12	47%	-0.04	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Jason Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	10	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.00	0.06	12	54%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	11	57%	0.05	5	-0.12	6	100%	0.03
Lou Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	30%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	6	69%	0.03	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.03	0.05	17	72%	0.14	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	10	35%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Owens	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.03	14	59%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	17	51%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	17	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	27.4	15.8	27.0	1.8	32.0	128.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +47.9%

PHI -16.2%

PHI -15.5%

IND +34.9%

PHI -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	14.1	15.3	15.4	85.9	105.2	105.7
season	15.2	13.8		104.0	104.5
opponent	15.2	16.2		105.6	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.9	15.8	13.6	11.3	14.1
IND	16.8	14.8	13.0	17.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	66	66	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.08	6	-23	29	13.7	14.8	-1.18	15.9	14.2	1.69
Reggie Evans	50	50	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-19	21	15.3	12.8	2.50	15.2	15.5	-0.37
Thaddeus Young	13	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.08	-6	-11	5	12.6	14.3	-1.66	15.9	15.3	0.60
Andre Iguodala	81	80	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-11	5	14.1	13.7	0.41	15.4	15.2	0.13
Andre Miller	74	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	-5	-7	13.9	14.4	-0.51	14.9	16.8	-1.95
Lou Williams	39	36	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	0	-17	13.3	14.6	-1.28	15.8	15.1	0.74
Samuel Dalembert	84	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	-6	-5	14.7	10.3	4.39	15.0	17.2	-2.20
Jason Smith	34	33	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.08	-19	2	-21	13.5	14.4	-0.85	15.7	15.2	0.54
Kyle Korver	54	50	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.11	-22	5	-27	13.7	14.5	-0.83	15.3	15.4	-0.08

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kareem Rush	61	63	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.08	20	-3	23	15.8	14.6	1.12	13.4	15.1	-1.69
Jeff Foster	34	35	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	3	11	14.6	15.7	-1.11	14.2	14.0	0.22
Marquis Daniels	64	69	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.11	18	-1	19	15.4	15.3	0.10	13.9	14.4	-0.44
Troy Murphy	58	59	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	9	-1	14.8	16.1	-1.32	14.7	13.1	1.65
Mike Dunleavy	60	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	9	-1	15.2	15.6	-0.41	13.8	14.4	-0.59
Danny Granger	86	87	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.06	10	7	3	15.4	14.5	0.90	13.9	15.2	-1.26
Andre Owens	39	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	16	-15	15.5	15.2	0.25	14.5	13.8	0.65
David Harrison	8	8	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	14	-11	16.6	15.2	1.40	17.9	13.7	4.15
Jermaine O'Neal	75	76	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.05	3	14	-11	15.5	14.8	0.73	13.9	14.7	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 86, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.76,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
LAC 79, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
UTA 108, DAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%