NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	64		Excitement	4.1 [974]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +9.2%
Utah Jazz	90		Comeback	2.0 [647]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -8.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	14	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Ime Udoka	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	64%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	3	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.13	0.00	-0.10	4	0%	-0.03	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	10	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Michael Finley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	12	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	6	50%	-0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.02	0.02	12	71%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	69%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	53%	0.06	1	0.00	5	60%	0.01
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Almond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	11	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	-0.05	13	50%	0.07	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	16	47%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.0	29.7	18.0	27.8	2.8	33.2	139.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +31.7%

UTA +1.4%

UTA +7.7%

UTA +9.6%

SAS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	16.6	15.4	72.7	102.3	105.7
season	16.5	15.5		104.7	111.2
opponent	15.0	15.3		105.0	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.1	17.4	14.9	15.2	16.1
UTA	15.6	18.6	17.0	15.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	17	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.17	-6	-20	14	14.4	16.5	-2.08	17.7	16.4	1.33
Bobby Jones	17	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.17	-6	-20	14	14.4	16.5	-2.08	17.7	16.4	1.33
Matt Bonner	21	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	-20	14	14.0	16.8	-2.81	18.4	16.1	2.35
Jacque Vaughn	35	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.29	-13	-13	0	16.0	16.1	-0.10	15.3	17.5	-2.20
Kurt Thomas	44	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.11	-9	-17	8	16.5	15.7	0.77	16.1	17.3	-1.20
Bruce Bowen	44	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-21	16	17.8	14.4	3.36	15.8	17.5	-1.70
Tim Duncan	46	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-21	16	17.1	15.0	2.18	17.0	16.2	0.87
Michael Finley	34	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.14	-14	-12	-2	17.0	15.5	1.53	17.8	15.9	1.84
Fabricio Oberto	42	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.21	-18	-8	-10	16.6	15.7	0.92	15.9	17.3	-1.35
Manu Ginobili	49	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.16	-17	-9	-8	15.6	16.7	-1.03	15.8	17.6	-1.86
Ime Udoka	38	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	-8	-10	14.3	17.4	-3.08	16.7	16.6	0.18
Tony Parker	53	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	-13	0	16.1	16.0	0.10	17.5	15.3	2.20

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	62	64	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.14	25	1	24	16.4	17.3	-0.95	15.9	16.7	-0.85
Deron Williams	77	76	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.28	29	-3	32	16.5	17.8	-1.35	16.6	12.6	4.06
Mehmet Okur	70	69	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.34	29	-3	32	16.6	16.8	-0.18	16.8	13.5	3.34
Carlos Boozer	63	62	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	13	0	17.0	15.8	1.22	16.6	14.9	1.66
Kyle Korver	48	48	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.39	22	4	18	16.2	17.1	-0.90	15.4	16.9	-1.57
Ronnie Price	45	44	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	25	-24	16.7	16.6	0.11	16.7	15.4	1.32
Matt Harpring	39	38	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.10	8	18	-10	15.4	17.6	-2.16	15.6	16.5	-0.85
Jason Hart	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	26	-26	21.7	16.5	5.21	11.5	16.3	-4.81
Jarron Collins	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	26	-26	21.7	16.5	5.21	11.5	16.3	-4.81
CJ Miles	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	21	-16	21.0	16.3	4.68	15.3	16.1	-0.81
Morris Almond	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	26	-26	21.7	16.5	5.21	11.5	16.3	-4.81
Paul Millsap	21	21	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	28	-30	16.8	16.6	0.23	15.0	16.4	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 89, MIL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
GSW 70, NJN 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.69,0.7,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
CLE 85, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%