NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	89		Excitement	4.9 [821]		MVP	John Salmons (MIL): +18.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	108		Comeback	1.8 [975]		LVP	Brook Lopez (NJN): -20.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	4	89%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	15	63%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.01	0.04	15	71%	0.16	4	-0.11	5	80%	-0.00
Kris Humphries	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	5	44%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.03	8	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Terrence Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	13	21%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	-0.21	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.14	-0.07	-0.00	6	31%	-0.04	5	-0.17	4	75%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.04	0.01	13	79%	0.21	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.05	-0.04	9	82%	0.18	3	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	12	60%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	10	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	3	0%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	9	32%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.6	28.2	16.6	26.4	2.5	26.5	130.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +28.4%

NJN -4.7%

MIL +9.5%

MIL +14.9%

MIL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIL	NBA	NJN	MIL	NBA
this game	16.0	14.7	15.3	95.7	113.7	106.0
season	15.9	15.5		98.7	103.3
opponent	15.5	15.0		101.8	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.8	17.1	14.7	17.4	16.0
MIL	15.8	12.9	15.3	14.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	11	11	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.01	1	-20	21	15.9	16.0	-0.08	14.7	14.7	0.06
Chris Quinn	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-19	19	14.7	16.1	-1.37	13.4	14.8	-1.42
Jarvis Hayes	53	53	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-20	21	15.2	17.1	-1.92	14.8	14.5	0.40
Kris Humphries	46	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-15	11	16.0	15.9	0.09	14.8	14.6	0.18
Devin Harris	60	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	-7	-5	15.6	16.6	-0.93	15.2	13.8	1.37
Chris Douglas-Roberts	21	21	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	-8	-3	17.3	15.6	1.75	13.6	15.0	-1.42
Keyon Dooling	26	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-12	5	17.1	15.6	1.52	13.9	15.0	-1.03
Courtney Lee	67	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.03	-12	-7	-5	15.7	16.7	-0.99	15.0	13.6	1.40
Terrence Williams	45	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.07	-16	-3	-13	16.7	15.3	1.46	14.4	14.9	-0.51
Brook Lopez	62	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	-2	-15	16.3	15.4	0.89	15.1	13.8	1.35
Yi Jianlian	67	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	-1	-17	15.7	16.7	-1.04	14.2	16.0	-1.77

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	73	71	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.10	22	-3	25	14.6	15.0	-0.37	16.3	15.0	1.22
Jerry Stackhouse	55	54	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.04	15	4	11	14.2	15.3	-1.08	16.3	15.5	0.85
Brandon Jennings	39	38	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	10	-1	15.7	13.9	1.82	15.3	16.4	-1.08
Ersan Ilyasova	59	59	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.05	13	6	7	14.8	14.4	0.37	15.9	16.0	-0.08
Kurt Thomas	53	51	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.14	14	5	9	15.1	14.1	1.04	16.2	15.7	0.44
Dan Gadzuric	33	33	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	13	-7	14.3	14.9	-0.52	16.1	15.9	0.22
Luc Mbah a Moute	36	34	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	13	-7	14.4	14.8	-0.37	16.0	15.9	0.08
Carlos Delfino	40	39	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	15	-11	15.3	14.2	1.08	15.5	16.3	-0.85
Luke Ridnour	32	33	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.12	7	12	-5	15.1	14.5	0.63	16.1	15.9	0.22
Charlie Bell	38	37	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	19	-19	13.7	15.4	-1.69	16.2	15.8	0.35
Primoz Brezec	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	13.2	14.8	-1.60	14.3	16.2	-1.82
Royal Ivey	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	13.4	14.8	-1.42	14.7	16.1	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 64, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
SAC 82, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%
LAC 81, POR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%