NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	113		Excitement	3.8 [1106]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +19.6%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	1.0 [570]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -17.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.20	0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.32	0.02	0.15	19	90%	0.24	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.25	0.02	0.11	18	84%	0.20	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.02	-0.06	8	45%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	5	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	9	47%	0.03	5	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	13	47%	0.02	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	10	71%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.01	0.04	6	94%	0.08	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	100%	0.07	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	9	47%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.07	8	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	35%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Landry Fields	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	5	17%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	16	37%	-0.05	5	-0.12	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	3.7	34.2	19.7	27.5	3.7	28.4	146.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +24.3%

BOS +5.3%

BOS +15.5%

BOS +3.7%

BOS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	15.5	118.9	101.1	105.7
season	15.7	14.3		104.8	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.8		108.4	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.0	15.5	15.2	16.7	15.3
NYK	14.8	16.5	15.4	13.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	64	65	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.27	31	-14	45	14.8	16.4	-1.54	16.0	12.9	3.02
Ray Allen	74	73	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.42	34	-17	51	14.7	17.6	-2.96	15.9	11.9	4.02
Rajon Rondo	80	81	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.12	23	-6	29	15.0	16.7	-1.68	15.2	13.9	1.26
Jermaine O'Neal	53	56	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.34	30	-13	43	14.2	16.8	-2.63	15.9	13.7	2.17
Paul Pierce	66	66	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.22	23	-6	29	14.7	16.7	-1.98	15.1	14.7	0.45
Troy Murphy	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	17.1	15.2	1.97	10.5	15.3	-4.80
Von Wafer	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	17.1	15.2	1.97	10.5	15.3	-4.80
Jeff Green	42	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.33	-12	29	-41	16.4	14.4	1.99	14.5	15.4	-0.94
Nenad Krstic	16	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	21	-25	16.9	15.0	1.87	14.3	15.1	-0.83
Glen Davis	38	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.40	-16	33	-49	17.2	14.1	3.11	13.0	16.3	-3.28
Delonte West	28	28	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.34	-16	33	-49	16.6	14.8	1.78	13.5	15.6	-2.18

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Carter	9	9	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.17	10	-27	37	11.9	15.3	-3.44	16.0	15.2	0.76
Henry Walker	48	45	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.15	6	-23	29	15.8	14.1	1.68	16.0	14.7	1.26
Shawne Williams	63	63	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.35	13	-30	43	14.2	16.7	-2.50	16.2	13.6	2.64
Roger Mason Jr.	32	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-16	15	12.9	16.1	-3.16	15.9	15.0	0.89
Jared Jeffries	67	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-12	7	15.0	15.0	0.05	15.7	14.3	1.40
Ronny Turiaf	21	23	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	-2	-13	14.4	15.2	-0.79	14.0	15.7	-1.79
Landry Fields	44	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-8	-1	14.7	15.3	-0.64	15.6	15.0	0.62
Carmelo Anthony	70	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.25	-27	10	-37	15.2	14.4	0.87	14.6	17.2	-2.61
Toney Douglas	57	58	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.13	-23	6	-29	15.6	14.0	1.62	15.2	15.6	-0.41
Amar'e Stoudemire	64	64	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.39	-34	17	-51	16.3	12.4	3.93	14.3	17.4	-3.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 111, IND 100	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
CLE 103, MIN 80	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
CLE 96, NJN 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0	95.8%