NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	111		Excitement	3.8 [1081]		MVP	Patty Mills (SAS): +13.3%
Indiana Pacers	100		Comeback	1.0 [687]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (IND): -14.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	9	75%	0.14	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	25	59%	0.11	3	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Bryn Forbes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	10	65%	0.08	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Derrick White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Davis Bertans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	8	55%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	75%	0.01	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	53%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	15	60%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.03	7	79%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.01	0.05	15	66%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	12	63%	0.07	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Davon Reed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Anigbogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	12	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	14	38%	-0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.03	12	8%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.0	26.0	14.6	28.2	2.0	26.3	124.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +35.6%

SAS +6.9%

SAS +3.2%

SAS +2.7%

SAS +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	IND	NBA	SAS	IND	NBA
this game	15.2	13.1	14.3	108.8	99.0	109.3
season	14.8	14.5		111.7	108.4
opponent	14.6	14.4		105.7	110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.5	15.0	14.2	17.2	15.2
IND	13.8	12.3	14.6	12.0	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	79	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.06	21	-10	31	15.0	15.9	-0.90	13.8	11.0	2.78
DeMar DeRozan	77	77	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.02	18	-7	25	15.5	14.2	1.35	13.6	11.7	1.94
Rudy Gay	54	55	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.24	24	-13	37	14.9	15.5	-0.62	14.9	11.1	3.79
Bryn Forbes	57	56	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.11	16	-5	21	14.3	16.4	-2.08	14.5	11.4	3.07
Dante Cunningham	39	39	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.06	10	1	9	14.7	15.5	-0.81	13.7	12.8	0.97
Patty Mills	62	61	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.31	-5	16	-21	16.0	14.0	2.00	12.0	14.9	-2.94
Davis Bertans	30	28	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	10	-9	13.7	15.9	-2.19	12.2	13.5	-1.24
Marco Belinelli	55	54	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.37	-10	21	-31	17.0	13.1	3.83	12.1	14.4	-2.35
Chimezie Metu	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	13.3	15.3	-1.94	7.3	13.3	-5.99
Quincy Pondexter	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	13.3	15.3	-1.94	7.3	13.3	-5.99
Derrick White	17	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	16	-21	12.8	15.7	-2.94	11.2	13.6	-2.39
Jakob Poeltl	34	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.28	-11	22	-33	16.1	14.7	1.40	11.5	13.9	-2.41

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	27	28	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-15	19	13.0	13.2	-0.20	14.8	15.4	-0.59
TJ Leaf	35	36	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.26	10	-21	31	11.7	13.9	-2.19	14.5	15.6	-1.11
Doug McDermott	32	32	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.12	5	-16	21	12.6	13.4	-0.86	14.5	15.6	-1.09
Davon Reed	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	7.3	13.3	-5.99	13.3	15.3	-1.94
Ike Anigbogu	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	7.3	13.3	-5.99	13.3	15.3	-1.94
Aaron Holiday	46	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.26	8	-19	27	12.1	14.0	-1.95	14.6	15.8	-1.19
Cory Joseph	67	68	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.37	11	-22	33	11.9	15.6	-3.63	15.8	14.0	1.78
Tyreke Evans	40	40	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.18	-21	10	-31	15.0	12.0	3.02	14.6	15.6	-0.93
Thaddeus Young	62	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.01	-16	5	-21	13.7	12.3	1.33	15.7	14.5	1.14
Darren Collison	54	53	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.09	-20	9	-29	14.2	11.9	2.35	15.5	14.9	0.57
Domantas Sabonis	71	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.06	-17	6	-23	13.5	12.4	1.02	15.5	14.6	0.82
Bojan Bogdanovic	65	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.10	-23	12	-35	14.0	11.7	2.30	15.6	14.5	1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 113, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
BOS 113, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
CHI 103, VAN 85	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%