inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 113 Excitement3.3 [1115] MVPVin Baker (BOS): +9.5%
New York Knicks 90 Comeback1.0 [873] LVPLatrell Sprewell (NYK): -7.4%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vin Baker0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.110.010.03880%0.0900.004100%0.01
Paul Pierce0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.01-0.031863%0.143-0.061080%0.01
Tony Delk0.060,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.150.000.09894%0.0600.0000%0.00
Eric Williams0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.000.02686%0.061-0.012100%0.01
Tony Battie0.030,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.012100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Walter McCarty0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021150%0.0010.0000%0.00
J.R. Bremer0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.031100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Kedrick Brown0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ruben Wolkowyski0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Bruno Sundov-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Antoine Walker-0.010,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.05-0.00-0.042150%0.054-0.07450%0.00
Shammond Williams-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.02-0.04530%0.013-0.0700%0.00

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Allan Houston0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.120.010.041471%0.101-0.026100%0.02
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.06-0.010.031060%0.0200.0000%0.00
Lavor Postell00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Travis Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.0610%0.0020.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.02653%0.022-0.03580%0.00
Lee Nailon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.010.000.03671%-0.002-0.022100%-0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.100.03-0.04825%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Charlie Ward0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.03636%-0.021-0.0120%-0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01325%-0.031-0.022100%0.01
Howard Eisley0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.01530%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Othella Harrington0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.000.01544%-0.051-0.028100%0.00
Latrell Sprewell0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.020.031154%-0.013-0.06250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.62.423.416.729.22.429.4129.2
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +44.9%
BOS +3.6%
BOS +0.5%
BOS +1.7%
NYK -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSNYKNBABOSNYKNBA
this game14.716.615.5124.296.8101.6
season15.615.699.3102.6
opponent15.515.5104.099.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.216.112.116.614.7
NYK17.115.916.516.916.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Williams70710.52-0.020.55-0.2426-32914.914.10.7316.516.8-0.25
Antoine Walker73750.500.000.49-0.2124-12515.113.11.9817.214.13.13
Paul Pierce71710.470.030.45-0.081941514.714.50.2017.214.62.55
Tony Delk50530.400.100.30-0.161941514.215.4-1.2117.515.42.12
Tony Battie27280.340.160.19-0.07149513.215.3-2.1618.515.72.80
Vin Baker42430.150.35-0.20-0.11914-515.414.11.3015.617.5-1.90
Shammond Williams53560.110.39-0.27-0.15914-515.413.81.5715.917.7-1.82
Bruno Sundov22220.000.50-0.490.00023-2315.214.50.6916.116.7-0.64
J.R. Bremer770.000.50-0.500.03-124-2514.314.7-0.4514.416.8-2.33
Kedrick Brown980.000.50-0.50-0.06221-1913.814.8-1.0314.616.8-2.14
Ruben Wolkowyski760.000.50-0.500.12-427-3114.314.7-0.4513.316.8-3.47
Walter McCarty2425-0.010.51-0.520.05-225-2713.215.3-2.0914.917.2-2.27

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lavor Postell1212-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-222116.116.7-0.5714.614.7-0.14
Travis Knight1212-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-222116.116.7-0.5714.614.7-0.14
Charlie Ward4240-0.04-0.460.420.14-6-171115.317.6-2.3215.514.11.38
Lee Nailon2222-0.05-0.450.390.24-10-13315.417.0-1.5915.214.50.69
Michael Doleac2927-0.09-0.410.330.12-7-16915.717.0-1.2915.014.60.37
Shandon Anderson3433-0.10-0.400.300.16-9-14515.617.2-1.6115.014.50.51
Clar. Weatherspoon4442-0.13-0.370.250.14-9-14516.117.0-0.8414.914.50.37
Latrell Sprewell5555-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.05-11-12116.916.10.8014.415.1-0.67
Kurt Thomas4244-0.38-0.12-0.250.03-14-9-517.016.30.7215.114.40.71
Othella Harrington5957-0.41-0.09-0.320.03-15-8-717.215.61.6114.215.6-1.41
Howard Eisley5151-0.46-0.04-0.420.04-17-6-1117.615.32.3214.115.5-1.38
Allan Houston6360-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.03-15-8-717.414.92.4314.614.9-0.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 111, IND 1000.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.0%
SAS 103, NOK 770.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%
BOS 109, DET 860.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,096.1%