NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	109		Excitement	3.1 [1192]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): +12.5%
Detroit Pistons	86		Comeback	1.0 [1130]		LVP	Greg Monroe (DET): -8.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.17	0.01	0.06	12	79%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	-0.00	0.03	13	75%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	14	53%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Semih Erden	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.01	0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	8	67%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Von Wafer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	7	56%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Harangody	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	6	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	13	61%	0.06	2	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	10	61%	0.04	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
DaJuan Summers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	53%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	15	45%	-0.00	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	2	12%	-0.05	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	6	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.7	28.7	16.7	23.4	2.7	30.3	131.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +36.8%

BOS +3.6%

DET -5.0%

BOS +14.1%

BOS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DET	NBA	BOS	DET	NBA
this game	15.4	17.2	15.5	122.5	97.7	105.7
season	15.7	16.7		104.8	106.4
opponent	15.2	15.8		110.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.7	16.1	16.0	15.8	15.4
DET	17.0	16.6	18.3	16.9	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	59	60	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.20	22	1	21	15.0	16.1	-1.15	17.3	16.8	0.53
Kevin Garnett	59	59	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.28	24	-1	25	15.1	16.0	-0.95	18.1	15.3	2.79
Ray Allen	61	62	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.29	24	-1	25	15.0	16.1	-1.13	17.7	15.8	1.90
Rajon Rondo	66	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.24	21	2	19	15.2	16.0	-0.85	17.6	16.1	1.48
Jermaine O'Neal	39	40	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	12	-1	14.9	15.7	-0.84	17.0	17.3	-0.29
Glen Davis	43	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.13	10	13	-3	16.0	14.8	1.17	17.9	16.5	1.43
Von Wafer	21	20	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.05	2	21	-19	16.3	15.1	1.20	16.2	17.5	-1.27
Nate Robinson	30	29	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	24	-25	15.9	15.1	0.85	15.8	17.9	-2.07
Semih Erden	30	29	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.10	-1	24	-25	16.0	15.1	0.95	15.3	18.1	-2.79
Marquis Daniels	30	28	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	22	-21	16.1	15.0	1.15	16.8	17.3	-0.53
Luke Harangody	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	21	-19	14.3	15.5	-1.18	13.0	17.5	-4.49

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DaJuan Summers	25	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.21	-11	-12	1	18.4	16.7	1.65	14.2	15.8	-1.57
Jason Maxiell	25	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.13	-9	-14	5	16.8	17.3	-0.48	15.3	15.4	-0.11
Greg Monroe	35	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	-16	9	16.2	17.8	-1.68	15.3	15.4	-0.12
Tracy McGrady	14	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.09	-9	-14	5	18.6	16.9	1.74	16.2	15.2	1.00
Austin Daye	49	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.19	-13	-10	-3	17.1	17.3	-0.13	14.9	16.0	-1.10
Ben Wallace	39	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-10	-3	17.8	16.7	1.15	15.0	15.7	-0.63
Rodney Stuckey	72	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-14	5	17.0	17.9	-0.92	15.8	13.7	2.06
Charlie Villanueva	61	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-10	-3	17.1	17.3	-0.17	15.9	14.2	1.73
Ben Gordon	61	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-19	15	16.4	18.9	-2.41	15.7	14.7	1.01
Tayshaun Prince	59	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.29	-27	4	-31	17.7	16.1	1.66	15.0	16.1	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 104, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.6%
IND 105, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
GSW 122, MEM 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%