NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	104		Excitement	2.8 [1158]		MVP	Jeff Hornacek (UTA): +13.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	92		Comeback	1.0 [638]		LVP	Bo Outlaw (LAC): -7.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.20	0.01	0.07	12	87%	0.16	2	-0.02	8	87%	-0.00
Howard Eisley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	4	89%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Morris	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	57%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Howard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	47%	0.03	2	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02
Greg Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
John Stockton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	10	50%	-0.00	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	16	62%	0.05	5	-0.10	10	100%	0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Loy Vaught	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	13	69%	0.07	3	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	15	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	65%	0.01	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	10	61%	-0.00	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	1	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.7	27.2	15.7	28.2	2.4	39.3	141.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +43.6%

UTA +5.1%

UTA +6.7%

LAC -7.1%

UTA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.0	15.8	15.6	114.3	102.2	104.4
season	15.6	15.8		110.8	102.9
opponent	15.1	16.0		105.8	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.4	16.1	15.9	17.7	16.0
LAC	18.4	15.2	16.1	13.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	77	76	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.05	18	-6	24	16.2	14.9	1.38	15.8	15.6	0.27
Bryon Russell	60	62	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.08	17	-5	22	14.9	18.2	-3.24	16.4	14.5	1.94
Jeff Hornacek	66	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.14	18	-6	24	16.0	16.2	-0.25	16.0	15.2	0.86
John Stockton	64	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	0	12	16.5	15.0	1.45	16.9	12.8	4.10
Greg Ostertag	35	35	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.20	18	-6	24	15.0	16.7	-1.71	19.1	13.7	5.38
Antoine Carr	43	43	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.15	4	8	-4	16.5	15.6	0.97	14.1	17.3	-3.22
Howard Eisley	27	25	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	12	-12	15.0	16.5	-1.45	12.8	16.9	-4.10
Shandon Anderson	28	26	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.36	-9	21	-30	17.7	15.3	2.39	15.2	16.1	-0.91
Chris Morris	28	26	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.15	-2	14	-16	16.9	15.6	1.26	14.4	16.4	-1.94
Stephen Howard	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	14.3	16.1	-1.75	9.3	16.0	-6.69
Greg Foster	24	23	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.29	-12	24	-36	16.2	16.0	0.20	14.7	16.2	-1.54

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pooh Richardson	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	9.3	16.0	-6.69	14.3	16.1	-1.75
Terry Dehere	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	9.3	16.0	-6.69	14.3	16.1	-1.75
Richard Manning	8	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-12	12	14.4	15.9	-1.56	14.8	16.2	-1.38
Lamond Murray	34	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-13	14	15.7	15.8	-0.10	17.2	15.3	1.91
Eric Piatkowski	19	18	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-12	12	11.1	17.1	-6.02	18.2	15.5	2.67
Bo Outlaw	44	44	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.27	1	-13	14	14.0	17.5	-3.43	17.7	14.4	3.35
Loy Vaught	56	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.04	-10	-2	-8	16.5	14.7	1.81	15.5	16.9	-1.34
Lorenzen Wright	41	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	1	-14	19.2	13.0	6.24	14.5	17.4	-2.91
Brent Barry	62	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-12	12	14.3	19.2	-4.96	16.6	14.7	1.94
Malik Sealy	58	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.13	-15	3	-18	17.2	13.3	3.91	15.2	17.5	-2.27
Darrick Martin	49	48	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.02	-15	3	-18	17.1	14.2	2.90	15.6	16.5	-0.84
Rodney Rogers	73	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.04	-17	5	-22	15.7	16.2	-0.54	15.8	16.7	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 78, PHI 67	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
PHX 123, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
MIN 95, LAC 64	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%