NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	123		Excitement	3.2 [1169]		MVP	Raja Bell (PHX): +17.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	99		Comeback	1.0 [633]		LVP	Chris Webber (PHI): -13.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.18	0.00	0.01	11	87%	0.18	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.04	13	50%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Steve Nash	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.04	9	81%	0.11	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	12	62%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	7	53%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dijon Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.05	12	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	0.00	0.10	10	80%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	10	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.10	3	112%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	40%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	8	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	35%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	17	45%	-0.01	3	-0.05	8	62%	-0.02
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	22	32%	-0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	29.3	15.4	22.4	2.4	26.6	120.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +47.9%

PHX +4.2%

PHI -8.3%

PHX +7.5%

PHI -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	PHI	NBA	PHX	PHI	NBA
this game	14.1	17.3	15.6	132.3	108.8	104.4
season	13.8	15.2		110.2	104.1
opponent	15.3	16.1		106.0	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.0	11.9	17.9	15.1	14.1
PHI	18.0	18.9	17.2	14.9	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	69	68	0.63	-0.13	0.75	-0.17	27	-3	30	13.9	14.6	-0.73	18.2	14.4	3.83
Steve Nash	57	55	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.07	17	7	10	14.2	13.9	0.37	18.3	15.6	2.72
James Jones	67	65	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.17	17	7	10	14.3	13.5	0.81	16.9	18.1	-1.15
Raja Bell	48	46	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	15	-6	14.0	14.2	-0.26	18.5	16.0	2.48
Boris Diaw	77	75	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	10	4	13.8	15.2	-1.41	16.9	18.9	-2.04
Kurt Thomas	47	48	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.08	11	13	-2	13.8	14.4	-0.60	18.8	15.5	3.26
Leandro Barbosa	45	45	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.25	15	9	6	14.2	14.0	0.26	16.0	18.5	-2.48
Eddie House	36	36	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.14	7	17	-10	13.9	14.2	-0.37	15.6	18.3	-2.72
Pat Burke	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	15.4	13.9	1.53	12.6	17.9	-5.25
Dijon Thompson	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	16.1	13.9	2.22	10.5	17.7	-7.23

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shavlik Randolph	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-20	16	12.6	17.9	-5.25	15.5	13.9	1.55
Michael Bradley	13	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-21	18	16.0	17.5	-1.46	16.8	13.6	3.21
Matt Barnes	30	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-21	18	15.5	18.1	-2.61	12.6	14.9	-2.32
Lou Williams	33	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.24	-14	-10	-4	16.1	17.9	-1.82	14.3	14.0	0.30
Kyle Korver	45	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.15	-13	-11	-2	15.6	18.8	-3.18	14.9	13.2	1.67
Kevin Ollie	56	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-16	8	18.1	15.9	2.27	14.5	13.4	1.05
Chris Webber	56	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	-12	0	18.5	15.3	3.20	13.5	14.9	-1.40
John Salmons	74	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	-7	-10	17.4	16.5	0.96	13.8	15.4	-1.62
Andre Iguodala	80	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.28	-24	0	-24	17.2	17.3	-0.02	13.9	15.3	-1.43
Samuel Dalembert	57	57	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.13	-22	-2	-20	19.0	14.3	4.68	14.1	14.1	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, PHI 76	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
UTA 104, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	97.0%
CHI 108, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%