NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	88		Excitement	3.6 [1088]		MVP	Desmond Mason (MIL): +9.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	76		Comeback	1.0 [568]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -14.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	11	77%	0.12	2	-0.03	9	100%	0.03
Toni Kukoc	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	7	70%	0.01	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Brian Skinner	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	46%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	3	0%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	12	38%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.01	-0.07	15	34%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	8	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02
Damon Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	5	30%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	10	60%	0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	64%	0.00	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Derrick Coleman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	9	47%	-0.01	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.01	-0.02	11	27%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.20	0.00	-0.07	18	42%	-0.03	7	-0.10	7	86%	0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.19	0.00	-0.04	13	25%	-0.10	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.0	31.0	15.6	24.6	2.6	28.0	127.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +27.7%

MIL +4.9%

MIL +2.1%

MIL +12.6%

MIL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.9	14.6	15.7	89.8	78.4	100.5
season	15.3	16.2		103.6	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.5		99.5	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.0	13.5	17.0	16.6	14.9
PHI	16.5	14.2	13.8	14.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Redd	75	75	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	1	10	14.5	16.3	-1.80	14.7	14.4	0.26
Joe Smith	53	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	3	6	14.7	15.2	-0.58	15.0	14.1	0.89
Toni Kukoc	50	49	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.07	8	4	4	15.0	14.9	0.06	14.1	15.1	-0.98
Tim Thomas	57	57	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	1	10	15.3	14.4	0.88	15.5	13.4	2.10
Desmond Mason	58	57	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	6	0	14.7	15.3	-0.63	13.9	15.6	-1.65
Damon Jones	61	59	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	10	-8	15.3	14.3	1.06	14.0	15.6	-1.60
Brian Skinner	43	45	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.02	7	5	2	14.8	15.0	-0.16	15.3	14.0	1.35
Dan Gadzuric	50	48	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	12	-12	15.3	14.6	0.68	14.0	15.2	-1.25
T.J. Ford	17	17	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.11	10	2	8	12.3	15.5	-3.19	17.6	14.0	3.61
Erick Strickland	26	26	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	16	-20	16.7	14.3	2.40	13.5	15.0	-1.51

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zendon Hamilton	20	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.01	-3	-9	6	13.8	14.8	-1.02	14.6	15.0	-0.45
Kyle Korver	37	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-15	18	13.4	15.3	-1.90	15.2	14.8	0.42
Samuel Dalembert	37	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.11	-1	-11	10	14.1	14.9	-0.85	16.0	14.3	1.62
Greg Buckner	45	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-12	12	13.8	15.3	-1.51	15.6	14.3	1.28
John Salmons	25	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.08	-10	-2	-8	14.8	14.5	0.31	14.1	15.2	-1.09
Glenn Robinson	55	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-5	-2	15.5	13.5	2.04	14.6	15.4	-0.84
Kenny Thomas	60	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-7	2	15.0	14.0	0.94	15.4	14.2	1.14
Eric Snow	76	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-7	2	14.5	15.0	-0.50	15.0	14.7	0.33
Derrick Coleman	53	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-1	-10	15.1	14.0	1.03	14.7	15.2	-0.54
Allen Iverson	77	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.11	-21	9	-30	14.9	13.4	1.46	14.3	17.2	-2.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 123, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
MIA 89, BOS 66	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
PHX 106, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%