NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Excitement	3.1 [1150]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +9.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	64		Comeback	1.1 [560]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): -8.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.01	-0.05	15	60%	0.10	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Kendall Gill	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	54%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	9	42%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Igor Rakocevic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Loren Woods	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	11	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.04	6	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	10	50%	-0.00	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Joe Smith	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	7	19%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	6	19%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	14	41%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	13	41%	-0.04	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	16	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.03
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.15	-0.01	-0.08	8	16%	-0.06	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	27.2	16.7	26.0	1.8	27.0	125.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +22.3%

MIN +5.8%

MIN +10.4%

MIN +9.2%

MIN +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAC	NBA	MIN	LAC	NBA
this game	16.4	16.3	15.5	108.0	72.7	101.6
season	14.9	15.4		104.0	100.2
opponent	15.4	15.8		104.3	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.8	18.1	15.8	16.3	16.4
LAC	14.9	17.0	16.2	17.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	67	68	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.30	27	4	23	16.9	14.9	2.01	16.5	15.5	1.03
Rod Strickland	55	57	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.26	25	6	19	16.7	16.0	0.74	16.5	16.0	0.46
Kendall Gill	45	43	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.24	23	8	15	17.2	15.6	1.62	15.3	17.3	-1.99
Rasho Nesterovic	52	52	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	17	-3	16.0	17.0	-0.96	15.6	17.3	-1.76
Joe Smith	43	42	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.05	13	18	-5	17.8	15.1	2.66	15.8	16.7	-0.93
Anthony Peeler	47	49	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.17	13	18	-5	15.9	17.1	-1.25	17.3	15.0	2.37
Marc Jackson	34	34	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.37	15	16	-1	16.5	16.4	0.11	17.4	15.6	1.87
Wally Szczerbiak	43	44	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.37	15	16	-1	15.3	17.5	-2.21	16.5	16.0	0.50
Igor Rakocevic	33	31	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.15	6	25	-19	16.0	16.7	-0.74	16.0	16.5	-0.46
Gary Trent	21	20	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.10	4	27	-23	14.9	16.9	-2.01	15.5	16.5	-1.03
Loren Woods	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	24	-17	15.8	16.5	-0.64	15.4	16.3	-0.95

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-22	13	14.9	16.5	-1.58	18.8	16.1	2.78
Melvin Ely	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-22	13	14.9	16.5	-1.58	18.8	16.1	2.78
Sean Rooks	24	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-30	29	18.5	15.5	2.97	14.0	17.3	-3.35
Marko Jaric	26	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-27	23	17.2	15.9	1.22	17.6	16.0	1.63
Keyon Dooling	39	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.23	-12	-19	7	16.6	16.1	0.53	16.3	16.5	-0.20
Quentin Richardson	33	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.36	-18	-13	-5	17.1	15.8	1.22	16.6	16.3	0.25
Lamar Odom	56	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-17	3	16.3	16.3	-0.08	16.2	16.8	-0.58
Andre Miller	51	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.18	-20	-11	-9	15.8	16.9	-1.12	16.8	15.9	0.86
Corey Maggette	68	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.28	-24	-7	-17	16.0	17.3	-1.36	16.3	17.1	-0.79
Michael Olowokandi	55	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.18	-21	-10	-11	15.8	17.1	-1.32	16.5	16.4	0.10
Elton Brand	66	66	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.17	-23	-8	-15	16.2	16.6	-0.39	16.0	17.7	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 87, SAC 73	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
CHI 110, NYK 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
CLE 102, ORL 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.24,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%