NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	87		Excitement	3.1 [1124]		MVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): +13.9%
Sacramento Kings	73		Comeback	1.2 [666]		LVP	Sam Cassell (NJN): -15.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.01	-0.01	21	62%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	0.00	0.07	11	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jack Haley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	44%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jayson Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	8	45%	0.02	3	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Michael Cage	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
David Benoit	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	7	14%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	10	27%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.26	-0.00	-0.11	19	24%	-0.09	4	-0.07	4	0%	-0.05

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Salvadori	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	12	53%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	3	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	10	54%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	2	17%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	5	40%	-0.01	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.00	4	-0.08	7	43%	-0.02
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.19	-0.00	-0.07	18	21%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.8	22.2	15.5	26.8	1.7	24.3	116.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +21.8%

SAC -2.2%

NJN +16.0%

NJN +13.1%

NJN +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SAC	NBA	NJN	SAC	NBA
this game	14.8	13.8	15.6	86.1	73.0	102.5
season	15.6	15.2		104.9	98.5
opponent	15.3	15.2		104.3	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.2	12.1	15.2	18.0	14.8
SAC	15.2	15.6	12.0	12.5	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	63	64	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.14	22	-8	30	14.4	15.6	-1.21	15.7	10.6	5.12
Sam Cassell	68	67	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.24	23	-9	32	14.3	15.8	-1.52	14.5	12.4	2.10
Jayson Williams	79	77	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	3	8	15.0	14.3	0.70	14.4	11.9	2.49
Michael Cage	55	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.23	20	-6	26	14.9	14.8	0.07	14.5	13.0	1.50
Kevin Edwards	56	55	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.28	2	12	-10	14.4	15.4	-1.04	14.3	13.3	0.98
Xavier McDaniel	23	22	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	10	-6	13.6	15.2	-1.63	13.1	14.0	-0.89
Kerry Kittles	44	45	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.19	12	2	10	14.7	14.9	-0.29	13.3	14.3	-0.98
Sherman Douglas	34	33	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.33	-9	23	-32	16.8	13.8	2.97	12.4	14.5	-2.10
Chris Gatling	39	38	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	18	-22	15.2	14.6	0.58	12.8	14.5	-1.68
Jack Haley	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	15.0	14.8	0.19	9.5	14.1	-4.61
David Benoit	38	36	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.23	-8	22	-30	15.6	14.4	1.21	10.6	15.7	-5.12

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Salvadori	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-17	20	9.5	14.1	-4.61	19.7	14.5	5.26
Anthony Johnson	23	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.24	8	-22	30	12.5	14.2	-1.76	18.0	13.8	4.22
Bobby Hurley	19	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	-9	4	9.6	14.8	-5.25	13.9	15.0	-1.07
Michael Stewart	56	56	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-12	10	12.7	15.3	-2.62	15.0	14.6	0.36
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	41	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-13	12	13.0	14.4	-1.45	15.0	14.7	0.22
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	32	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-8	2	15.2	13.2	2.09	12.8	15.8	-2.93
Terry Dehere	26	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-3	-8	16.4	12.9	3.45	15.0	14.8	0.19
Lawrence Funderburke	52	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.14	-3	-11	8	13.1	14.6	-1.53	15.1	14.5	0.53
Olden Polynice	28	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-2	-10	16.4	12.8	3.56	14.9	14.8	0.05
Mitch Richmond	67	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-6	-2	14.4	12.7	1.65	15.7	13.2	2.48
Billy Owens	74	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.11	-18	4	-22	14.4	12.2	2.16	14.2	16.7	-2.52
Corliss Williamson	76	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	1	-16	14.0	13.2	0.76	13.9	17.6	-3.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 99, LAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	97.3%
HOU 123, WAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	97.2%
NOH 112, LAC 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%