NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	110		Excitement	3.1 [1181]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +10.4%
New York Knicks	106		Comeback	1.0 [431]		LVP	Raymond Felton (NYK): -10.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.00	0.02	8	100%	0.13	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	24	55%	0.09	4	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	64%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	12	61%	0.05	4	-0.04	12	92%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	10	30%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	12	47%	0.02	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	46%	-0.05	2	0.03	6	83%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	20	59%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	5	80%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	7	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	56%	-0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	25	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	83%	0.02	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	0.04	21	47%	-0.02	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.0	26.5	15.8	29.2	2.6	48.2	149.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +30.8%

NYK -2.7%

CHI +15.2%

CHI +0.4%

CHI +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.0	14.1	15.4	110.0	108.2	104.1
season	16.6	16.2		101.7	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.2		103.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.1	15.1	17.3	13.2	15.0
NYK	15.6	14.9	14.7	11.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	95	93	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.28	12	-8	20	15.0	16.0	-1.04	14.1	14.2	-0.14
Joakim Noah	81	80	0.62	-0.12	0.73	-0.03	22	-18	40	15.7	12.2	3.46	15.0	9.8	5.19
Luol Deng	89	87	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	4	-4	14.8	16.8	-2.03	13.7	16.6	-2.89
Kirk Hinrich	77	77	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	-4	12	14.6	16.2	-1.57	14.4	13.0	1.30
Carlos Boozer	46	47	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.08	16	-12	28	16.0	14.2	1.75	15.7	12.6	3.05
Jimmy Butler	67	65	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.50	-12	16	-28	14.5	16.0	-1.43	13.3	15.5	-2.18
Vladimir Radmanovic	1	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	5	-6	18.0	15.0	3.02	9.0	14.1	-5.12
Marquis Teague	1	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	6	-8	3.0	15.1	-12.13	17.0	14.0	2.96
Nate Robinson	36	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.40	-15	19	-34	14.2	15.5	-1.23	11.7	15.2	-3.54
Taj Gibson	7	7	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.12	-8	12	-20	18.6	14.7	3.83	11.6	14.3	-2.69

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Copeland	24	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.45	15	-19	34	10.8	15.1	-4.34	12.9	15.7	-2.82
James White	3	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-6	8	4.7	14.4	-9.70	2.0	15.3	-13.28
Pablo Prigioni	32	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.51	16	-20	36	11.4	15.4	-3.96	14.7	15.2	-0.50
Kurt Thomas	13	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.09	-5	1	-6	12.8	14.3	-1.50	16.9	14.7	2.15
Steve Novak	64	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.43	7	-11	18	13.7	14.7	-0.93	14.5	16.0	-1.50
J.R. Smith	60	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-4	4	14.7	13.1	1.58	16.5	12.5	4.01
Ronnie Brewer	22	21	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.13	-13	9	-22	15.0	13.8	1.20	15.2	15.0	0.23
Jason Kidd	68	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.30	0	-4	4	13.9	14.4	-0.43	14.9	15.3	-0.37
Carmelo Anthony	70	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	8	-20	15.1	11.6	3.50	15.9	12.7	3.22
Tyson Chandler	66	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	12	-28	15.5	11.0	4.51	15.3	14.4	0.88
Raymond Felton	68	67	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	10	-24	14.3	13.6	0.68	13.8	17.4	-3.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, LAC 64	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
NYK 78, PHI 67	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
UTA 104, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.8%