inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 103 Excitement2.9 [1194] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +12.3%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets 77 Comeback1.0 [1200] LVPChris Paul (NOK): -15.0%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0.120,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.100.01-0.011665%0.162-0.045100%0.02
Tony Parker0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.01-0.051559%0.132-0.03250%-0.01
Michael Finley0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.01-0.03744%0.0400.002100%0.00
Tim Duncan0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00755%0.0300.00650%-0.04
Matt Bonner0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.050.000.03675%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Bruce Bowen0.020,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%0.0000.002100%0.00
Jackie Butler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04367%0.0030.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01558%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Brent Barry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03638%0.002-0.021100%0.00
Beno Udrih-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.040.000.02950%-0.033-0.03250%-0.00

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.11-0.000.051177%0.071-0.0100%0.00
Linton Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.00-0.01657%0.0500.002100%-0.00
Desmond Mason0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.02-0.00-0.011159%0.063-0.03580%0.01
Cedric Simmons0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.00744%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Marcus Vinicius00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hilton Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.090.00-0.08722%-0.021-0.00450%-0.02
Marc Jackson0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.011036%-0.0200.0020%-0.03
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.120.00-0.101432%-0.023-0.0000%0.00
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.19-0.01-0.051125%-0.085-0.072100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.12.025.020.031.23.7387.4498.5
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +34.5%
SAS +2.1%
SAS +14.2%
NOK -4.7%
SAS +3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASNOKNBASASNOKNBA
this game15.916.115.4114.485.6104.5
season16.216.0107.5102.8
opponent15.315.4104.498.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.416.613.916.815.9
NOK16.417.715.515.116.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili50480.53-0.030.56-0.182422215.316.5-1.2317.414.62.79
Tony Parker56580.50-0.000.51-0.2927-12815.616.3-0.6916.815.01.76
Francisco Elson48470.430.070.37-0.182151616.115.50.6016.915.31.50
Bruce Bowen37390.430.070.36-0.101881016.115.70.4117.814.92.89
Tim Duncan44460.380.120.25-0.031412215.416.3-0.9017.215.02.17
Fabricio Oberto34340.100.40-0.29-0.01422-1815.416.2-0.7814.617.1-2.53
Matt Bonner42410.090.41-0.33-0.15818-1016.415.41.0115.017.1-2.08
Brent Barry32320.040.46-0.41-0.251016-614.916.4-1.5413.017.9-4.91
Michael Finley44440.020.48-0.470.02026-2616.615.11.5114.817.4-2.57
Jackie Butler12120.000.50-0.50-0.15521-1615.915.90.0617.615.91.67
Jacque Vaughn990.000.50-0.50-0.06224-2216.815.81.0118.415.92.57
Beno Udrih4240-0.020.52-0.550.06-329-3216.415.41.0115.516.6-1.10

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Vinicius1313-0.00-0.500.500.15-5-211617.215.91.2815.815.9-0.11
Brandon Bass2223-0.01-0.490.490.08-3-232015.116.5-1.3216.815.51.29
Linton Johnson4747-0.04-0.460.41-0.01-1-252414.917.5-2.6816.415.31.08
Hilton Armstrong4747-0.07-0.430.370.14-7-191213.918.6-4.7316.515.11.39
Jannero Pargo5860-0.23-0.270.040.15-13-13015.018.2-3.2417.013.73.30
Cedric Simmons2829-0.28-0.22-0.060.13-14-12-218.914.94.0614.116.7-2.65
Marc Jackson4947-0.45-0.05-0.390.11-19-7-1217.814.13.6515.116.7-1.68
Desmond Mason5857-0.45-0.05-0.400.20-22-4-1816.515.50.9815.815.9-0.11
Rasual Butler6060-0.48-0.02-0.470.19-23-3-2016.814.81.9515.416.8-1.40
Chris Paul6867-0.49-0.01-0.490.18-23-3-2016.515.11.3215.516.8-1.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 123, WAS 1110.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,096.6%
SAS 107, PHX 860.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.5%
IND 100, UTA 750.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%