NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	100		Excitement	3.1 [1143]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +9.8%
Utah Jazz	75		Comeback	1.0 [407]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -12.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	0.01	0.06	19	69%	0.10	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.00	-0.05	7	57%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	7	75%	0.06	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	69%	0.06	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	13	65%	0.06	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	13	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Sam Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	5	25%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.02	9	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	4	25%	-0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.05	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	11	27%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	22%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	0.00	14	44%	-0.06	3	-0.07	8	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.0	27.1	16.6	26.3	2.5	23.3	122.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +36.3%

IND +1.5%

IND +3.7%

IND +5.8%

IND +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	UTA	NBA	IND	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	16.1	15.2	113.6	82.4	101.7
season	15.4	16.3		106.5	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.1		100.6	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.3	15.7	18.3	16.2	16.1
UTA	17.5	15.7	15.2	15.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rik Smits	47	48	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.10	21	4	17	16.4	15.8	0.55	16.6	15.5	1.07
Reggie Miller	67	70	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.19	19	6	13	16.3	15.6	0.66	16.5	14.7	1.74
Al Harrington	53	52	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.26	21	4	17	16.1	16.2	-0.08	15.4	17.0	-1.61
Mark Jackson	57	61	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	9	7	15.6	17.0	-1.35	15.8	16.7	-0.91
Jalen Rose	57	61	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	15	-5	16.1	16.2	-0.06	16.0	16.2	-0.27
Dale Davis	41	44	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.24	17	8	9	16.7	15.7	1.00	16.7	15.4	1.26
Austin Croshere	40	39	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.12	10	15	-5	17.5	15.0	2.52	16.7	15.6	1.07
Travis Best	31	30	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.11	9	16	-7	17.0	15.6	1.35	16.7	15.8	0.91
Sam Perkins	33	36	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.06	4	21	-17	15.2	16.7	-1.51	16.1	16.0	0.05
Zan Tabak	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	26	-27	11.4	16.5	-5.10	11.4	16.4	-5.01
Jeff Foster	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	26	-27	11.4	16.5	-5.10	11.4	16.4	-5.01

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	36	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-25	25	16.5	15.8	0.69	15.4	16.6	-1.20
Pete Chilcutt	28	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.17	-7	-18	11	15.6	16.3	-0.70	16.5	15.9	0.60
Adam Keefe	37	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.10	-5	-20	15	15.6	16.4	-0.82	16.2	16.1	0.07
Jacque Vaughn	29	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.06	-5	-20	15	14.3	16.9	-2.51	15.6	16.4	-0.80
Quincy Lewis	23	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.13	-9	-16	7	15.4	16.3	-0.83	16.8	15.9	0.97
Olden Polynice	28	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-19	13	17.4	15.4	1.98	16.4	16.0	0.46
Scott Padgett	31	32	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.11	-12	-13	1	16.5	15.8	0.65	17.2	15.5	1.67
Bryon Russell	66	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.12	-13	-12	-1	16.2	15.7	0.52	15.6	17.2	-1.58
Jeff Hornacek	50	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.11	-13	-12	-1	16.0	16.1	-0.08	15.6	16.7	-1.09
Karl Malone	67	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-11	-3	15.9	16.5	-0.66	16.0	16.4	-0.40
Greg Ostertag	22	21	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.14	-18	-7	-11	16.3	16.0	0.29	15.4	16.3	-0.91
John Stockton	38	36	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.19	-23	-2	-21	16.8	15.5	1.26	17.3	15.3	2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 94, NOH 83	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	96.5%
NJN 87, SAC 73	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
CLE 111, ORL 76	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%