NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Excitement	2.5 [1262]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +10.7%
Orlando Magic	76		Comeback	1.0 [940]		LVP	Tobias Harris (ORL): -11.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	-0.00	-0.03	15	66%	0.18	4	-0.07	8	62%	0.02
Timofey Mozgov	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	-0.00	0.07	9	89%	0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	7	86%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.13	0.00	0.11	7	82%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	1	150%	0.04	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	5	37%	0.01	1	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Anderson Varejao	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sasha Kaun	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	38%	-0.02	3	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
James Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.13	10	68%	-0.05	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	86%	0.02	3	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	10	64%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Elfrid Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	2	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.13	0.00	-0.12	7	19%	-0.01	3	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.05	8	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	0.00	-0.05	8	25%	-0.04	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.8	26.8	14.8	27.8	2.5	28.6	127.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +34.3%

CLE +6.0%

CLE +6.2%

CLE +2.6%

CLE +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	14.9	118.1	81.7	105.1
season	15.8	14.6		110.3	103.6
opponent	14.9	14.9		105.2	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.9	12.7	15.7	15.9	15.4
ORL	16.4	15.0	15.7	14.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matthew Dellavedova	48	47	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.46	34	1	33	14.9	15.9	-1.00	15.9	14.8	1.09
LeBron James	58	57	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.57	36	-1	37	15.1	15.9	-0.83	15.7	14.9	0.88
Timofey Mozgov	35	36	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.42	27	8	19	16.5	14.8	1.68	16.8	14.5	2.25
Kevin Love	53	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.45	28	7	21	15.7	15.0	0.67	15.8	14.8	1.05
Jared Cunningham	44	43	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.10	16	19	-3	15.7	15.1	0.65	16.0	14.9	1.16
Tristan Thompson	42	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.12	11	24	-13	14.3	16.3	-2.07	14.9	15.7	-0.79
Iman Shumpert	50	49	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.40	19	16	3	15.1	15.7	-0.65	14.9	16.0	-1.10
James Jones	38	37	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	32	-29	15.1	15.6	-0.50	14.4	16.1	-1.74
Anderson Varejao	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	34	-33	15.7	15.3	0.44	14.5	15.6	-1.08
Sasha Kaun	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	30	-25	16.6	15.2	1.40	15.5	15.4	0.06
Richard Jefferson	25	26	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.17	-6	41	-47	15.6	15.3	0.27	14.6	15.7	-1.14
Mo Williams	46	46	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.06	1	34	-33	15.9	14.9	1.00	14.8	15.9	-1.09

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	37	39	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.12	-3	-32	29	14.4	16.0	-1.60	15.2	15.5	-0.34
Dewayne Dedmon	37	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.35	-13	-22	9	15.5	15.3	0.24	15.8	15.1	0.76
Victor Oladipo	35	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.22	-10	-25	15	15.1	15.6	-0.41	16.5	14.7	1.73
Shabazz Napier	39	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-30	25	14.6	16.0	-1.39	14.7	15.9	-1.18
Mario Hezonja	39	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.47	-21	-14	-7	15.5	15.3	0.20	15.1	15.6	-0.54
Aaron Gordon	60	62	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.24	-13	-22	9	15.0	16.2	-1.17	15.4	15.5	-0.15
Andrew Nicholson	44	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-28	21	15.8	15.1	0.71	16.0	14.9	1.18
Channing Frye	22	22	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.19	-14	-21	7	15.6	15.3	0.25	16.6	15.0	1.61
Elfrid Payton	39	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.17	-14	-21	7	15.8	15.1	0.77	16.1	15.0	1.09
Tobias Harris	33	32	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.29	-22	-13	-9	16.2	15.0	1.17	15.5	15.4	0.15
Nikola Vucevic	44	43	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.23	-25	-10	-15	15.6	15.2	0.45	14.6	16.1	-1.47
Evan Fournier	36	35	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.29	-28	-7	-21	15.9	15.1	0.80	13.9	16.3	-2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 112, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.34,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
IND 100, UTA 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
POR 110, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%