NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	112		Excitement	2.8 [977]		MVP	Devin Harris (UTA): +21.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	91		Comeback	1.0 [852]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): -9.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.19	0.01	-0.02	15	75%	0.23	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.19	0.00	0.09	11	88%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Alec Burks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	9	65%	0.05	2	-0.00	8	75%	-0.02
Blake Ahearn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	14	34%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jeremy Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	3	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarre Carroll	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	10	36%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.08	5	83%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	2	83%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	8	33%	-0.04	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.04	15	62%	0.07	3	-0.07	4	100%	-0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	17	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	16	47%	0.01	3	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.00	3	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	7	52%	0.01	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	28.5	15.6	24.1	1.8	29.0	124.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +26.1%

UTA +6.3%

UTA +5.3%

UTA +9.6%

UTA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	15.8	13.9	15.6	114.3	94.8	102.8
season	15.8	15.7		104.0	104.1
opponent	15.4	15.1		104.7	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.7	16.9	16.2	14.8	15.8
POR	15.0	15.8	13.8	11.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	50	50	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.18	24	-3	27	15.8	15.9	-0.11	14.0	13.7	0.30
Al Jefferson	59	57	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.11	21	0	21	16.3	15.1	1.27	14.0	13.7	0.27
Devin Harris	59	58	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.13	19	2	17	15.8	15.8	-0.05	14.3	13.2	1.11
Gordon Hayward	68	66	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.17	19	2	17	15.4	16.7	-1.32	14.6	12.3	2.26
Alec Burks	57	55	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.13	16	5	11	15.6	16.1	-0.48	13.1	14.9	-1.79
DeMarre Carroll	50	51	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	13	-5	16.5	15.1	1.31	14.2	13.5	0.69
Jeremy Evans	26	23	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	20	-19	15.7	15.9	-0.22	12.7	14.2	-1.52
Jamaal Tinsley	39	38	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	19	-17	15.8	15.8	0.05	13.2	14.3	-1.11
Blake Ahearn	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	25	-29	12.8	16.3	-3.42	11.6	14.2	-2.59
Enes Kanter	36	36	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	21	-21	14.6	16.5	-1.91	14.0	13.8	0.23
Derrick Favors	33	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	22	-23	17.8	14.8	3.02	14.3	13.6	0.73

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Smith	24	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.09	-4	-17	13	13.7	13.9	-0.25	15.8	15.8	-0.08
Jonny Flynn	51	52	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-21	21	13.8	13.9	-0.07	15.6	16.0	-0.43
Luke Babbitt	70	73	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-16	11	13.7	14.3	-0.67	15.9	15.6	0.24
Kurt Thomas	37	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-17	13	14.6	13.4	1.16	16.0	15.7	0.30
Hasheem Thabeet	32	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.21	-17	-4	-13	15.2	13.2	1.95	16.5	15.5	1.01
Nicolas Batum	30	30	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	-3	-15	15.6	13.0	2.59	16.0	15.7	0.31
Nolan Smith	80	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.08	-18	-3	-15	13.3	16.6	-3.32	15.9	15.2	0.70
Wesley Matthews	76	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.17	-21	0	-21	13.4	15.5	-2.08	15.4	17.4	-1.99
JJ Hickson	80	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.04	-18	-3	-15	13.5	15.4	-1.90	15.7	16.2	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.34,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 111, ORL 76	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
LAC 114, MIL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.14,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
LAC 99, MEM 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	96.0%