NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	114		Excitement	2.5 [1241]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +14.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	86		Comeback	1.1 [1242]		LVP	Brandon Knight (MIL): -9.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.17	0.01	0.04	16	74%	0.14	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	13	65%	0.10	3	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
JJ Redick	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	8	74%	0.08	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	6	94%	0.08	4	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Willie Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.12	0.00	0.10	6	93%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.02	5	73%	0.05	3	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Byron Mullens	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	60%	-0.02	2	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	9	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	-0.04	8	69%	0.07	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Miroslav Raduljica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	6	69%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
John Henson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nate Wolters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	6	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	15	47%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	22	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	12	32%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	28.3	15.7	21.7	1.8	28.3	124.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +32.4%

LAC +9.5%

LAC +5.7%

LAC +1.0%

LAC +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIL	NBA	LAC	MIL	NBA
this game	14.1	16.0	15.1	121.3	88.7	105.2
season	14.3	15.7		111.0	101.4
opponent	15.1	15.4		109.7	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.0	15.2	14.2	13.3	14.1
MIL	15.3	18.2	17.7	13.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	46	49	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.24	28	0	28	13.9	14.3	-0.44	17.0	15.0	2.00
DeAndre Jordan	65	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.21	25	3	22	13.8	14.8	-0.93	17.0	14.0	2.95
Darren Collison	48	51	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.20	21	7	14	13.7	14.6	-0.88	16.8	15.1	1.76
Blake Griffin	54	57	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.16	19	9	10	13.6	14.8	-1.15	16.5	15.2	1.29
Matt Barnes	51	54	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.19	18	10	8	14.0	14.3	-0.26	16.7	15.1	1.65
Jared Dudley	26	26	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.28	16	12	4	14.8	13.9	0.90	17.2	15.6	1.56
Jamal Crawford	44	46	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.29	13	15	-2	14.0	14.2	-0.18	16.6	15.5	1.06
Hedo Turkoglu	39	39	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.12	7	21	-14	14.6	13.8	0.76	15.5	16.3	-0.83
Byron Mullens	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	32	-36	15.7	13.9	1.87	11.5	16.6	-5.15
Reggie Bullock	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	32	-36	14.0	14.1	-0.14	11.6	17.0	-5.47
Ryan Hollins	29	31	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.07	1	27	-26	14.8	13.8	0.93	14.3	16.8	-2.48
Willie Green	38	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	28	-28	14.5	13.8	0.69	14.0	17.2	-3.21

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	29	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.19	-7	-21	14	16.2	15.9	0.23	15.6	13.5	2.12
Caron Butler	47	45	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.18	-7	-21	14	16.4	15.7	0.68	13.4	14.8	-1.46
Nate Wolters	39	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.22	-9	-19	10	13.9	17.4	-3.58	13.1	14.8	-1.79
Miroslav Raduljica	46	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-23	18	15.0	16.9	-1.88	15.2	13.1	2.09
John Henson	52	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.26	-21	-7	-14	17.5	14.3	3.25	13.9	14.4	-0.52
Khris Middleton	73	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	-10	-8	16.4	14.8	1.62	15.0	11.4	3.59
Ersan Ilyasova	65	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.03	-17	-11	-6	15.0	18.0	-3.02	14.0	14.4	-0.39
Brandon Knight	58	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.36	-29	1	-30	17.0	14.5	2.55	12.9	15.9	-3.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	76	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.26	-27	-1	-26	16.1	15.8	0.32	14.3	13.6	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.14,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 108, CLE 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
HOU 98, CHI 66	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
BOS 94, DET 80	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	96.3%