NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	98		Excitement	2.8 [1197]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +7.2%
Chicago Bulls	66		Comeback	1.0 [557]		LVP	Eddy Curry (CHI): -12.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	10	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Steve Francis	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	14	68%	0.12	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.14	0.00	0.09	4	150%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jim Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	3	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	62%	0.02	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	9	37%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Torraye Braggs	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	6	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	18	47%	-0.02	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	8	52%	-0.03	3	-0.05	11	73%	-0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	9	28%	-0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.17	-0.01	-0.06	7	17%	-0.06	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.21	-0.00	-0.09	8	5%	-0.10	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.0	29.2	15.4	22.5	2.5	28.2	126.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +55.1%

CHI -10.3%

CHI -9.4%

HOU +15.1%

CHI -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHI	NBA	HOU	CHI	NBA
this game	15.6	15.1	15.7	105.4	69.5	100.5
season	16.5	15.2		98.8	94.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		101.3	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.1	15.2	16.3	16.7	15.6
CHI	14.7	16.7	13.7	15.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	53	54	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.19	21	11	10	15.5	15.6	-0.14	15.2	14.9	0.30
Yao Ming	56	56	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.11	17	15	2	15.8	15.2	0.68	15.3	14.8	0.52
Cuttino Mobley	62	65	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.09	16	16	0	15.0	16.6	-1.56	15.1	15.0	0.16
Jim Jackson	60	61	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.40	24	8	16	15.2	16.2	-1.04	14.8	15.6	-0.80
Kelvin Cato	46	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.14	14	18	-4	14.8	16.4	-1.60	15.6	14.5	1.08
Bostjan Nachbar	42	41	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.31	18	14	4	16.2	15.0	1.22	15.5	14.7	0.81
Torraye Braggs	23	24	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.02	7	25	-18	15.6	15.6	0.05	14.6	15.2	-0.60
Moochie Norris	46	47	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.26	15	17	-2	16.0	15.2	0.77	14.8	15.4	-0.57
Maurice Taylor	48	49	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.41	17	15	2	16.1	15.0	1.19	14.5	15.7	-1.25
Scott Padgett	13	14	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.20	9	23	-14	15.1	15.6	-0.57	15.3	15.0	0.25
Mike Wilks	16	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	30	-28	16.3	15.4	0.90	15.2	15.1	0.13

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonny Baxter	17	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-30	28	15.2	15.1	0.13	16.3	15.4	0.90
Marcus Fizer	12	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.16	-8	-24	16	15.7	15.0	0.68	13.2	15.9	-2.72
Corie Blount	19	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-27	22	14.5	15.2	-0.75	17.2	15.1	2.06
Roger Mason Jr.	46	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.31	-16	-16	0	14.8	15.3	-0.44	16.1	15.1	1.05
Donyell Marshall	34	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.27	-15	-17	2	14.4	15.5	-1.08	16.2	15.2	0.96
Eddie Robinson	38	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.39	-20	-12	-8	14.4	15.5	-1.04	16.5	14.9	1.63
Jalen Rose	60	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	-20	8	15.1	15.0	0.16	15.1	16.3	-1.25
Jamal Crawford	72	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.22	-19	-13	-6	15.3	14.4	0.90	15.6	15.5	0.06
Eddy Curry	55	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-18	4	15.6	14.4	1.21	15.3	15.9	-0.56
Kendall Gill	51	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.32	-23	-9	-14	15.5	14.5	0.98	14.2	17.1	-2.84
Tyson Chandler	71	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.34	-26	-6	-20	14.9	15.5	-0.57	15.7	15.2	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 94, BOS 78	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
CHI 110, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
CHI 110, CHH 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%