NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Excitement	3.3 [1102]		MVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): +8.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	80		Comeback	1.1 [457]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): -20.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Kemp	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	11	73%	0.08	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Wesley Person	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.02	15	65%	0.13	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Cedric Henderson	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	10	76%	0.07	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	12	60%	0.03	3	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Danny Ferry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	3	78%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Greg Graham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.17	0.02	-0.12	9	43%	0.06	7	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Derek Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Carr	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.02	14	68%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Wheat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	50%	0.00	1	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Clifford Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	9	59%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	15	53%	0.04	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Stanley Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	15	53%	0.03	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Cherokee Parks	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	-0.02	-0.05	8	16%	-0.07	2	-0.06	3	33%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.30	-0.02	-0.12	8	17%	-0.10	7	-0.11	7	57%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	26.5	16.4	26.6	3.3	29.7	130.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +29.1%

CLE +15.3%

MIN -9.3%

CLE +15.1%

MIN -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIN	NBA	CLE	MIN	NBA
this game	13.9	15.3	15.6	106.2	80.0	102.5
season	15.4	14.8		99.4	105.3
opponent	15.7	16.0		104.9	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.3	11.7	13.3	17.2	13.9
MIN	16.6	16.4	14.9	13.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	78	80	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.34	33	-10	43	13.1	17.2	-4.16	15.8	13.4	2.44
Cedric Henderson	57	59	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.39	33	-10	43	12.4	15.9	-3.46	16.6	13.6	2.99
Wesley Person	69	73	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.30	27	-4	31	13.5	14.8	-1.34	16.5	12.3	4.13
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	35	37	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.15	21	2	19	11.6	15.1	-3.55	18.0	13.8	4.21
Shawn Kemp	67	70	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.21	23	0	23	12.6	16.8	-4.25	16.6	12.4	4.21
Danny Ferry	39	40	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	19	-15	15.5	12.7	2.80	13.6	16.5	-2.92
Mitchell Butler	16	15	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	23	-23	14.7	13.7	1.06	12.1	15.9	-3.86
Shawnelle Scott	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	17.3	13.6	3.70	10.2	15.6	-5.42
Henry James	17	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	27	-31	15.6	13.5	2.09	13.5	15.7	-2.20
Vitaly Potapenko	47	48	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	25	-27	15.6	12.2	3.36	13.5	17.1	-3.64
Derek Anderson	35	37	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.19	-10	33	-43	15.7	12.8	2.89	13.3	16.5	-3.22
Greg Graham	19	20	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.17	-10	33	-43	17.2	13.1	4.16	13.4	15.8	-2.44

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stanley Roberts	11	9	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-28	33	14.2	15.5	-1.31	15.1	13.7	1.37
Terry Porter	26	24	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-27	31	15.3	15.4	-0.06	14.1	13.8	0.34
DeJuan Wheat	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-17	11	14.4	15.4	-1.06	15.1	13.7	1.37
Clifford Rozier	12	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.19	-7	-16	9	12.9	15.7	-2.77	16.8	13.4	3.39
Reggie Jordan	10	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.11	-6	-17	11	13.2	15.6	-2.39	14.4	13.8	0.63
Doug West	41	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-24	25	15.0	15.6	-0.68	14.7	13.2	1.50
Sam Mitchell	58	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-16	9	14.4	16.7	-2.27	15.0	12.3	2.64
Tom Gugliotta	70	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-12	1	15.9	14.1	1.79	13.6	14.5	-0.94
Chris Carr	56	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.19	-20	-3	-17	15.7	14.9	0.75	13.2	14.6	-1.45
Cherokee Parks	53	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.15	-20	-3	-17	16.2	14.4	1.82	12.6	15.3	-2.65
Stephon Marbury	66	64	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.12	-21	-2	-19	15.5	15.1	0.40	13.6	14.4	-0.80
Kevin Garnett	89	86	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.21	-27	4	-31	15.7	12.3	3.46	13.5	16.9	-3.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 113, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
SAS 111, IND 100	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
PHI 105, NYK 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.21,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%