NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	99		Excitement	7.4 [353]		MVP	Kyle Korver (CHI): +34.4%
Chicago Bulls	104		Comeback	43.8 [80]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (CHI): -14.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2	0.10	0.09	-0.01	20	60%	0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	19	54%	0.18	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Brandon Rush	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	3	87%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
A.J. Price	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	62%	0.09	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	7	61%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	6	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul George	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.14,-0.14	0.02	-0.16	-0.00	15	52%	-0.11	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.34	0.34	0.08	0.27	0.00	7	87%	0.40	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.2,0.23	0.23	0.10	0.13	0.01	23	58%	0.32	3	-0.09	21	90%	0.12
Luol Deng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	0.01	13	60%	0.17	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	12	40%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Omer Asik	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	11	44%	-0.04	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.7	30.2	18.6	29.1	2.7	38.2	151.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +4.5%

CHI +24.7%

CHI +30.9%

IND -7.2%

IND -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	17.5	14.9	15.5	112.5	115.6	105.7
season	14.7	15.7		103.1	106.5
opponent	15.9	15.4		99.2	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.2	16.4	16.6	19.9	17.5
CHI	15.5	14.2	15.4	14.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	28	31	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-9	13	17.4	17.5	-0.16	13.3	15.7	-2.49
Brandon Rush	30	30	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.12	-1	-4	3	19.0	16.7	2.33	15.3	14.7	0.62
A.J. Price	24	25	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.11	-2	-3	1	20.6	16.3	4.30	13.6	15.4	-1.73
Jeff Foster	28	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.08	-4	-1	-3	20.1	16.3	3.77	13.4	15.6	-2.23
Josh McRoberts	20	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-1	-3	21.1	16.4	4.72	13.5	15.4	-1.89
Tyler Hansbrough	68	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-4	3	16.4	21.1	-4.72	15.4	13.5	1.89
Roy Hibbert	60	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.44	-1	-4	3	16.3	20.1	-3.77	15.6	13.4	2.23
Danny Granger	73	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.39	-5	0	-5	17.7	16.7	1.00	15.2	13.6	1.54
Darren Collison	64	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.46	-3	-2	-1	16.3	20.6	-4.30	15.4	13.6	1.73
Paul George	45	45	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.42	-8	3	-11	16.3	18.8	-2.52	15.3	14.5	0.80

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	77	75	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.38	10	-5	15	15.0	14.2	0.77	17.6	16.8	0.77
Kyle Korver	39	40	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.29	13	-8	21	13.6	15.9	-2.34	18.1	17.0	1.10
Joakim Noah	58	56	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.50	1	4	-3	15.8	13.2	2.59	16.0	20.2	-4.17
Derrick Rose	74	71	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	2	1	15.1	13.9	1.23	16.4	22.0	-5.58
Carlos Boozer	46	48	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.35	-5	10	-15	15.9	13.8	2.05	18.2	16.6	1.60
Kurt Thomas	46	43	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.15	11	-6	17	14.0	15.8	-1.77	18.5	16.5	1.98
Taj Gibson	23	23	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	-1	7	12.3	15.8	-3.47	17.5	17.5	0.03
Ronnie Brewer	33	30	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	7	-9	14.2	15.3	-1.12	17.5	17.5	0.05
CJ Watson	16	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	3	-1	13.9	15.1	-1.23	22.0	16.4	5.58
Omer Asik	7	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	8	-11	14.9	14.9	-0.03	18.5	17.4	1.07
Keith Bogans	31	31	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.04	-11	16	-27	17.0	13.8	3.27	16.4	18.1	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.3,0.24,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.05,0.09,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 95, OKC 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.42,1	92.7%
MIN 82, SEA 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.17,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.05,0.12,0.23,0.91,1	91.7%
MEM 92, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.15,0.37,0.33,0.73,1	91.4%