NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	95		Excitement	7.6 [373]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +25.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	99		Comeback	37.9 [101]		LVP	Joakim Noah (MEM): -14.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	19	66%	0.21	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Bruno Caboclo	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	69%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
CJ Miles	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Dorsey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	0.00	1	25%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Delon Wright	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.06	0.03	-0.07	0.02	14	53%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Justin Holiday	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.02	8	44%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	-0.00	13	53%	-0.03	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Joakim Noah	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,0.07,0.26	0.26	-0.05	0.32	0.01	20	48%	0.34	4	-0.08	6	67%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.02	-0.00	10	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	11	43%	-0.01	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.02	10	50%	-0.04	4	-0.10	6	17%	-0.12
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.2,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	22	35%	-0.09	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.8	27.3	15.3	25.7	2.5	35.2	132.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +12.2%

MEM -2.7%

OKC +14.5%

OKC +25.3%

OKC +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	OKC	NBA	MEM	OKC	NBA
this game	14.5	13.4	14.3	92.2	96.1	109.3
season	15.4	12.9		105.4	108.9
opponent	14.9	14.2		106.4	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.0	12.9	16.5	13.9	14.5
OKC	14.4	13.3	13.5	12.7	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	59	59	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-9	14	13.7	15.6	-1.92	12.7	14.4	-1.64
Jevon Carter	28	27	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.16	-5	1	-6	14.8	14.4	0.37	13.6	13.4	0.20
Chandler Parsons	33	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.15	-8	4	-12	16.4	13.6	2.72	13.8	13.3	0.49
Tyler Dorsey	17	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-1	-2	13.4	14.7	-1.32	13.8	13.4	0.48
Joakim Noah	34	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	3	-10	13.7	14.9	-1.16	12.8	13.8	-1.03
Jonas Valanciunas	69	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.46	5	-9	14	14.9	13.7	1.16	13.8	12.8	1.03
Avery Bradley	77	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.43	3	-7	10	14.1	15.8	-1.68	13.4	13.5	-0.10
Delon Wright	79	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.54	2	-6	8	14.6	14.3	0.29	13.5	13.2	0.27
Justin Holiday	60	60	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.48	-1	-3	2	14.2	15.0	-0.75	13.3	13.6	-0.23
Bruno Caboclo	59	59	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.28	-11	7	-18	15.3	13.5	1.77	13.8	13.0	0.86

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrance Ferguson	78	77	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.52	6	-2	8	13.2	14.2	-1.05	14.3	15.1	-0.80
Dennis Schroder	90	88	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.33	12	-8	20	13.0	16.5	-3.45	14.6	13.7	0.91
Steven Adams	71	70	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.59	-3	7	-10	13.1	14.2	-1.03	14.4	14.8	-0.40
Russell Westbrook	77	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.51	-1	5	-6	13.3	14.0	-0.69	14.3	15.1	-0.86
Jerami Grant	81	81	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	4	-4	13.5	13.3	0.22	14.1	15.9	-1.77
Nerlens Noel	17	16	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	-1	6	14.1	13.3	0.73	13.6	14.7	-1.05
Markieff Morris	29	31	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.13	2	2	0	14.3	13.1	1.25	15.1	14.2	0.88
Raymond Felton	27	28	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.14	1	3	-2	14.1	13.2	0.85	15.5	14.1	1.40
Abdel Nader	45	49	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.07	-2	6	-8	14.3	12.8	1.50	15.1	14.0	1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 83, BOS 86	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.19,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.09,0.26,1	92.8%
IND 99, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.3,0.24,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.05,0.09,0.59,1	92.7%
PHX 89, SAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.41,1	92.4%