NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	92		Excitement	7.9 [257]		MVP	A.J. Guyton (CHI): +14.1%
Chicago Bulls	95		Comeback	7.4 [207]		LVP	Shane Battier (MEM): -22.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	13	72%	0.11	2	-0.04	10	60%	-0.04
Brevin Knight	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	20	55%	0.14	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.13	0.00	7	43%	-0.12	1	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Grant Long	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	4	20%	-0.16	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Shane Battier	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.22	-0.05	-0.17	-0.01	14	49%	-0.01	2	-0.21	7	71%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.J. Guyton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.01	9	80%	0.28	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.05
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	4	62%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.07	0.00	16	71%	0.08	2	-0.05	13	92%	0.05
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	6	67%	0.06	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	11	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	0.00	0.00	11	33%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	4	10%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	28.3	15.4	25.1	1.8	34.2	131.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +10.7%

MEM -2.8%

CHI +23.6%

CHI +15.8%

CHI +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHI	NBA	MEM	CHI	NBA
this game	16.2	16.7	15.6	104.5	109.2	102.3
season	15.7	15.6		96.0	96.3
opponent	15.6	15.2		105.5	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.8	15.0	16.4	19.0	16.2
CHI	15.2	18.6	17.1	16.2	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	38	40	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.01	6	-9	15	16.5	15.9	0.59	16.1	17.2	-1.06
Rodney Buford	36	34	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.04	1	-4	5	15.7	16.5	-0.84	16.4	16.9	-0.56
Brevin Knight	30	29	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-4	5	15.5	16.6	-1.05	16.7	16.7	-0.00
Shane Battier	70	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.39	-3	0	-3	16.4	15.6	0.80	16.6	17.4	-0.78
Pau Gasol	77	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	-1	-1	16.1	16.9	-0.82	16.9	15.6	1.25
Stromile Swift	59	58	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.41	-6	3	-9	16.2	16.2	-0.07	16.9	16.3	0.57
Jason Williams	60	58	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.42	-6	3	-9	16.2	16.2	-0.08	16.7	16.7	0.00
Grant Long	70	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.44	-6	3	-9	16.6	14.8	1.78	17.0	15.4	1.63

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	49	51	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.40	14	-11	25	17.3	15.9	1.43	17.1	14.9	2.15
A.J. Guyton	36	37	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.51	10	-7	17	16.6	16.8	-0.29	17.0	15.6	1.35
Trenton Hassell	37	37	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.50	9	-6	15	17.5	16.1	1.37	17.4	15.3	2.05
Metta World Peace	48	47	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.57	-1	4	-5	16.4	17.1	-0.73	14.6	18.0	-3.47
Brad Miller	63	65	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.36	3	0	3	17.3	15.1	2.27	16.2	16.1	0.08
Eddy Curry	18	18	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	3	-3	15.6	17.0	-1.47	16.2	16.2	-0.03
Marcus Fizer	21	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.11	2	1	1	14.7	17.4	-2.65	19.4	15.2	4.21
Tyson Chandler	20	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	9	-15	20.6	15.6	5.03	13.9	17.0	-3.11
Charles Oakley	43	44	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.11	-1	4	-5	15.5	18.0	-2.49	16.1	16.3	-0.20
Kevin Ollie	52	51	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.01	-7	10	-17	16.6	16.9	-0.27	15.6	17.0	-1.35
Eddie Robinson	48	48	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.08	-8	11	-19	16.1	17.5	-1.48	15.7	16.8	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.15,0.37,0.33,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 101, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.29,0.58,1	92.9%
ORL 88, BOS 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.21,0.33,0.74,1	92.6%
SAC 117, MEM 124	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.28,0.25,0.36,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.37,0.24,0.85,1	92.3%