inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 101 Excitement4.2 [977] MVPMickael Pietrus (ORL): +23.9%
Boston Celtics 82 Comeback1.2 [572] LVPKendrick Perkins (BOS): -11.0%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.180.090.047106%0.2400.002100%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0.120,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.190.010.081293%0.163-0.043100%0.00
JJ Redick0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.020.00383%0.0700.0000%0.00
Marcin Gortat0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.012100%0.031-0.001100%0.00
Rashard Lewis0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.01-0.021450%0.053-0.031070%-0.02
Courtney Lee-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03527%0.011-0.021100%0.00
Tony Battie-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Anthony Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Dwight Howard-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.01960%0.033-0.072100%0.00
Rafer Alston-0.060,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.001645%0.014-0.0710%-0.02

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.020.05-0.041045%0.081-0.012100%0.01
Ray Allen0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.100.000.041861%0.071-0.012100%0.01
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Henry Walker00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gabe Pruitt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Glen Davis0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.030.000.05762%0.032-0.05771%-0.02
Brian Scalabrine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Stephon Marbury0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01440%0.003-0.062100%0.01
Paul Pierce0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.040.021344%-0.061-0.021070%0.01
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.011133%-0.092-0.022100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.43.632.219.726.82.037.3148.9
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +66.4%
BOS -8.5%
BOS -6.4%
BOS -2.3%
ORL +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLBOSNBAORLBOSNBA
this game16.216.015.5112.292.1106.4
season15.315.8107.3108.3
opponent15.615.8101.7101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.315.415.918.016.2
BOS17.515.916.813.916.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hedo Turkoglu68670.65-0.150.81-0.1427-83516.116.2-0.0816.215.50.62
Dwight Howard69710.57-0.070.65-0.1926-73316.016.7-0.6516.514.22.31
Anthony Johnson20200.330.170.160.04109115.616.3-0.7315.716.1-0.40
Courtney Lee31320.270.230.030.00910-116.815.81.0315.716.2-0.51
JJ Redick45440.230.27-0.04-0.00811-315.217.1-1.8417.814.23.57
Rashard Lewis77750.210.29-0.08-0.05910-116.017.2-1.2416.215.11.03
Rafer Alston68670.160.34-0.18-0.05712-516.016.6-0.6215.916.3-0.35
Mickael Pietrus45440.140.36-0.22-0.03613-717.215.21.9814.717.3-2.58
Tony Battie670.010.49-0.480.01019-1918.316.02.3212.916.3-3.42
Marcin Gortat2118-0.070.57-0.650.13-726-3316.716.00.6514.216.5-2.31

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephon Marbury29280.04-0.540.590.040-191912.917.5-4.6216.316.10.17
Mikki Moore440.00-0.500.50-0.124-232716.016.0-0.0116.016.2-0.17
Tony Allen550.00-0.500.50-0.062-212314.416.1-1.7115.616.2-0.60
Henry Walker440.00-0.500.50-0.124-232716.016.0-0.0116.016.2-0.17
Gabe Pruitt550.00-0.500.50-0.062-212314.416.1-1.7115.616.2-0.60
Brian Scalabrine2525-0.21-0.280.07-0.04-6-13715.216.3-1.0716.716.00.77
Glen Davis5657-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.00-9-10117.213.93.2916.016.5-0.45
Eddie House3131-0.30-0.20-0.090.03-11-8-314.316.9-2.6418.115.22.90
Ray Allen7577-0.41-0.09-0.320.06-16-3-1316.413.92.4716.116.4-0.25
Kendrick Perkins7473-0.42-0.08-0.340.19-212-2316.115.40.7415.718.1-2.33
Paul Pierce7070-0.45-0.05-0.410.16-212-2316.315.11.2216.814.12.66
Rajon Rondo6771-0.48-0.02-0.450.20-234-2716.813.53.2815.219.6-4.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.41,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.3,0.16,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 101, SAC 860.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,094.4%
ORL 104, CHI 840.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.4%
SAC 93, NYK 830.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,094.4%