NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	93		Excitement	5.3 [786]		MVP	Beno Udrih (SAC): +11.7%
New York Knicks	83		Comeback	1.2 [276]		LVP	Raymond Felton (NYK): -21.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.22	0.01	0.11	14	85%	0.17	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Samuel Dalembert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	8	50%	0.03	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	8	37%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Jeter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	10	40%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	10	62%	0.07	7	-0.14	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	20	37%	-0.02	4	-0.09	3	67%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.00	0.00	15	30%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	6	92%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.01	0.09	17	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	14	32%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	9	45%	-0.02	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.03	22	43%	-0.08	3	-0.04	14	86%	0.02
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	6	0%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.20	-0.05	-0.04	15	18%	-0.15	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	28.0	16.5	25.6	2.4	31.4	131.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +42.3%

NYK -2.8%

SAC +11.1%

NYK -6.5%

SAC +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NYK	NBA	SAC	NYK	NBA
this game	14.2	14.0	15.5	91.2	81.4	105.7
season	14.9	14.3		102.1	108.6
opponent	15.5	14.9		108.4	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.4	15.5	14.3	14.9	14.2
NYK	14.3	14.5	13.9	13.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	86	87	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.14	14	-4	18	14.1	15.2	-1.19	13.9	14.3	-0.32
Francisco Garcia	64	66	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.04	14	-4	18	13.9	14.9	-1.04	14.5	13.1	1.44
Tyreke Evans	74	74	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	0	10	14.1	14.6	-0.45	13.7	14.8	-1.15
Carl Landry	67	66	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	5	0	14.5	13.7	0.76	13.6	14.7	-1.17
DeMarcus Cousins	48	50	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	2	6	13.8	14.7	-0.90	15.1	12.9	2.14
Samuel Dalembert	65	60	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.19	2	8	-6	15.2	12.6	2.51	13.5	14.6	-1.07
Omri Casspi	51	52	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	6	-2	15.2	13.3	1.82	14.1	13.9	0.18
Jason Thompson	24	27	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	5	0	12.0	14.9	-2.94	14.5	13.8	0.67
Pooh Jeter	31	28	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.31	-12	22	-34	14.4	14.2	0.16	13.1	14.3	-1.22

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	34	32	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-11	12	14.5	13.7	0.81	14.2	14.3	-0.08
Henry Walker	36	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-7	4	15.3	13.3	2.03	14.3	14.2	0.15
Landry Fields	64	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-1	-8	14.4	13.3	1.07	14.2	14.4	-0.21
Raymond Felton	78	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-4	-2	13.6	15.1	-1.48	13.8	15.9	-2.12
Shawne Williams	53	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-5	0	13.1	15.0	-1.86	14.6	13.8	0.77
Amar'e Stoudemire	90	89	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.19	-8	-2	-6	13.8	15.2	-1.43	14.1	15.3	-1.22
Wilson Chandler	78	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	0	-10	14.1	13.7	0.42	14.4	13.6	0.82
Toney Douglas	77	78	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	0	-10	13.9	14.4	-0.49	14.5	13.4	1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 102, ATL 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
MIA 111, NYK 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.18,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.5%
ORL 101, BOS 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.41,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.3,0.16,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%