inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 111 Excitement5.1 [798] MVPJason Williams (MIA): +15.6%
New York Knicks 100 Comeback1.0 [672] LVPChanning Frye (NYK): -11.1%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Williams0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.160.130.040.011368%0.1600.005100%0.03
Dwyane Wade0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.03-0.001764%0.235-0.141377%0.03
Antoine Walker0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.080.050.030.00667%0.0800.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.01661%0.0500.00650%-0.04
Shandon Anderson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.01657%0.0400.002100%0.01
James Posey0.020,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.010.01580%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.010.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0.020,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001356%0.073-0.0560%-0.06
Derek Anderson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.000.03362%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Gary Payton-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddy Curry0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.030.021167%0.131-0.02580%0.02
Jerome James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.000.01968%0.0900.001100%0.00
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.08-0.000.011067%0.101-0.0410%-0.01
Jackie Butler00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
David Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0-0.000.060.010.07585%0.032-0.033100%0.00
Qyntel Woods0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02633%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.020.011259%0.053-0.08367%-0.01
Stephon Marbury0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.030.011344%-0.011-0.0310%-0.01
Malik Rose0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01425%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Steve Francis0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.04-0.021037%-0.042-0.04475%0.01
Channing Frye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.05-0.030.04312%-0.1100.00250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.93.533.418.329.83.830.4146.2
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +34.3%
MIA +10.3%
NYK -8.5%
MIA +8.0%
MIA +5.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANYKNBAMIANYKNBA
this game15.216.115.6120.7108.7104.4
season15.515.7106.1102.1
opponent15.415.5108.7102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.916.013.816.115.2
NYK15.716.017.515.216.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Williams69670.57-0.070.630.0418-72515.215.3-0.1016.714.52.20
James Posey34360.470.030.44-0.0618-72514.515.6-1.1317.515.22.27
Shaquille O'Neal46460.440.060.370.0812-11315.914.51.4616.615.61.02
Dwyane Wade80780.310.190.130.2338-515.512.82.7016.116.10.06
Antoine Walker41410.300.200.100.0683514.515.7-1.1716.316.00.27
Derek Anderson28280.230.27-0.040.1147-315.615.00.5615.416.4-0.99
Udonis Haslem53530.200.30-0.100.0847-315.814.31.5715.516.9-1.39
Alonzo Mourning44440.060.44-0.370.12-213-1514.216.1-1.8416.216.10.08
Gary Payton21220.060.44-0.380.0029-713.315.7-2.4616.116.1-0.04
Shandon Anderson4445-0.140.64-0.780.21-1223-3515.814.61.1714.617.6-3.06

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jackie Butler980.13-0.630.750.043-141711.116.7-5.5514.415.3-0.89
Qyntel Woods109-0.03-0.470.440.03-2-9717.416.01.4413.615.4-1.81
Malik Rose2728-0.04-0.460.43-0.01-1-10916.316.00.3016.414.61.79
Jerome James3332-0.04-0.460.42-0.195-162117.215.51.6616.214.61.63
Jamal Crawford5554-0.11-0.390.28-0.110-111115.417.1-1.7015.414.90.54
Channing Frye2725-0.15-0.350.20-0.12-1-10916.016.2-0.1214.615.4-0.80
Nate Robinson2424-0.16-0.340.18-0.10-2-9715.316.4-1.0614.815.3-0.48
Stephon Marbury7273-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.22-2-9716.116.1-0.0415.513.81.69
Jalen Rose5858-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.10-7-4-316.315.70.6115.315.00.29
David Lee3839-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.05-9-2-716.016.2-0.1614.715.6-0.90
Eddy Curry5052-0.580.09-0.67-0.03-198-2716.315.90.4414.715.9-1.22
Steve Francis5758-0.610.11-0.73-0.03-209-2916.715.21.4414.815.8-0.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.18,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 97, VAN 790.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,095.0%
WAS 102, ATL 830.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%
SAC 93, NYK 830.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,094.5%