inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 104 Excitement4.7 [859] MVPRashard Lewis (ORL): +12.7%
Chicago Bulls 84 Comeback1.0 [911] LVPKirk Hinrich (CHI): -8.0%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rashard Lewis0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.010.001169%0.1300.00450%-0.02
Hedo Turkoglu0.100,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.030.06-0.011763%0.195-0.094100%0.02
Maurice Evans0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.020.01762%0.0500.00250%0.00
Keyon Dooling0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.01573%0.0500.001100%0.00
Dwight Howard0.030,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.010.02476%0.144-0.101776%0.01
Adonal Foyle0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.00-0.04450%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Pat Garrity0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
JJ Redick0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Augustine0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.01250%0.032-0.0520%-0.02
Keith Bogans-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01944%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Carlos Arroyo-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.000.03450%-0.012-0.044100%0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andres Nocioni0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.12-0.010.041373%0.122-0.054100%0.02
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.020.011456%0.061-0.04683%0.01
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.040.02856%0.042-0.032100%0.01
Shannon Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.080.00-0.0840%0.0010.0000%0.00
Cedric Simmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.031242%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Larry Hughes0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01633%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tyrus Thomas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.00433%-0.0300.00450%-0.02
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.08-0.01-0.05736%0.023-0.0600%0.00
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.000.00433%-0.032-0.041100%0.00
Aaron Gray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.011100%0.024-0.0900%0.00
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00525%-0.061-0.0220%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.82.527.214.830.01.825.3131.3
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +36.2%
ORL +12.7%
CHI -2.7%
ORL +1.2%
ORL +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLCHINBAORLCHINBA
this game15.316.015.4111.892.3105.7
season15.115.0109.9102.2
opponent15.515.6105.4104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.014.217.016.315.3
CHI18.114.615.715.716.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hedo Turkoglu68660.58-0.080.66-0.1625-53014.916.5-1.6015.317.9-2.59
Rashard Lewis60590.350.150.19-0.121641216.113.82.3616.515.11.45
Dwight Howard57560.320.180.150.00119215.115.6-0.4916.215.60.60
Jameer Nelson48470.310.190.12-0.04128415.515.10.4816.815.11.72
Keith Bogans56520.270.230.050.07713-615.614.90.6514.717.7-3.01
Maurice Evans40420.270.230.05-0.08128416.014.81.2117.215.02.26
Carlos Arroyo45440.190.31-0.12-0.05812-415.115.5-0.4815.116.8-1.72
Adonal Foyle29290.180.32-0.15-0.09911-216.514.81.7515.316.3-0.96
Keyon Dooling41420.030.47-0.450.03020-2015.015.6-0.6416.515.60.93
Pat Garrity760.000.50-0.500.00020-2011.915.6-3.7417.015.91.07
JJ Redick760.000.50-0.500.00020-2011.915.6-3.7417.015.91.07
James Augustine760.000.50-0.500.00020-2011.915.6-3.7417.015.91.07

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shannon Brown780.00-0.500.500.000-202019.015.73.2514.515.4-0.89
Cedric Simmons670.00-0.500.500.000-202017.015.91.0711.915.6-3.74
Chris Duhon5152-0.05-0.450.390.04-3-171415.117.2-2.1415.115.5-0.40
Aaron Gray2122-0.14-0.360.22-0.02-4-161215.216.2-1.0513.815.8-2.02
Tyrus Thomas4243-0.18-0.320.140.14-11-9-215.916.1-0.2715.914.81.11
Thabo Sefolosha5860-0.26-0.24-0.020.01-9-11215.616.7-1.0515.415.10.30
Joakim Noah6566-0.26-0.24-0.020.06-11-9-216.514.71.7815.714.41.27
Luol Deng5152-0.29-0.21-0.080.00-10-10016.615.21.3815.515.10.38
Larry Hughes2322-0.29-0.21-0.080.03-11-9-217.715.42.3315.615.20.37
Ben Gordon3435-0.32-0.18-0.150.18-17-3-1415.216.5-1.2715.915.00.87
Kirk Hinrich4444-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.01-11-9-216.315.70.5714.915.7-0.85
Andres Nocioni5354-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.00-13-7-615.516.6-1.0815.415.20.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 106, SAS 930.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.28,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.16,0.12,0.22,0.13,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,095.0%
DAL 107, PHI 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%
DET 105, CHI 890.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,094.7%