NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	108		Excitement	2.3 [1263]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +21.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	81		Comeback	1.0 [499]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -8.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0.22	0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.24	0.01	0.02	9	100%	0.22	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.03
Metta World Peace	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	-0.00	12	68%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.17	0.00	0.09	17	75%	0.08	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	0.00	0.08	9	79%	0.05	1	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Von Wafer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	6	37%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Brian Cook	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Shane Battier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	47%	0.01	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Oden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.14	0.00	0.10	7	83%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	43%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	36%	0.00	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	10	41%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	23	45%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	5	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	12	27%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.8	36.3	19.0	30.0	2.8	30.2	142.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +39.9%

HOU +10.1%

HOU +2.0%

POR -3.4%

HOU +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	17.5	17.0	15.5	130.1	96.4	106.4
season	16.3	16.7		105.9	111.0
opponent	16.0	15.2		105.8	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.5	15.5	18.1	21.5	17.5
POR	18.8	16.5	15.5	17.3	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	65	67	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.48	34	-7	41	16.5	21.3	-4.80	17.3	15.8	1.52
Luis Scola	60	60	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.43	32	-5	37	17.7	17.0	0.72	17.4	15.8	1.66
Aaron Brooks	61	63	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.40	31	-4	35	17.5	17.6	-0.10	17.0	17.0	0.03
Metta World Peace	54	55	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.29	25	2	23	17.0	18.5	-1.48	17.1	16.8	0.33
Yao Ming	42	43	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.21	22	5	17	17.0	18.1	-1.10	17.9	16.0	1.86
Dikembe Mutombo	32	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.21	10	17	-7	17.8	17.4	0.43	15.7	17.7	-2.03
Von Wafer	28	28	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.18	-5	32	-37	18.2	17.2	1.05	15.8	17.6	-1.73
Brian Cook	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	29	-31	21.1	17.2	3.96	16.3	17.0	-0.69
Brent Barry	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	29	-31	21.1	17.2	3.96	16.3	17.0	-0.69
Charles Hayes	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	28	-29	20.2	17.4	2.87	13.3	17.1	-3.78
Kyle Lowry	35	36	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	30	-33	18.6	16.7	1.92	16.4	17.4	-0.93
Carl Landry	20	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.15	-6	33	-39	16.5	17.8	-1.34	17.7	16.7	0.98

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-29	31	18.5	16.8	1.68	21.0	17.1	3.85
Jerryd Bayless	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-26	25	16.1	17.1	-1.06	22.6	16.5	6.16
Greg Oden	39	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	-22	17	15.5	18.2	-2.68	18.1	17.1	0.99
Sergio Rodriguez	18	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-29	31	17.4	16.9	0.53	18.2	17.3	0.83
Rudy Fernandez	38	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.12	-6	-21	15	15.1	18.5	-3.42	17.3	17.7	-0.33
Joel Przybilla	29	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.20	-15	-12	-3	19.0	15.9	3.04	16.6	18.0	-1.39
Nicolas Batum	33	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.23	-17	-10	-7	17.4	16.7	0.74	17.2	17.7	-0.56
Channing Frye	33	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.15	-15	-12	-3	16.8	17.1	-0.21	19.0	16.5	2.46
Travis Outlaw	46	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.15	-15	-12	-3	16.6	17.5	-0.91	17.6	17.4	0.13
Brandon Roy	58	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.27	-23	-4	-19	16.9	17.1	-0.15	16.9	18.9	-2.03
Steve Blake	51	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	-9	-9	17.9	15.6	2.26	16.6	19.0	-2.41
LaMarcus Aldridge	54	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.26	-24	-3	-21	17.5	16.1	1.41	16.5	19.3	-2.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 111, SEA 93	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
MIN 112, LAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
GSW 108, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%