NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	108		Excitement	2.5 [1250]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +4.8%
Boston Celtics	88		Comeback	1.0 [1078]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -13.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	10	67%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	54%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	15	55%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	12	62%	0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	17	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	7	44%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	54%	0.00	3	0.00	5	100%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	8	19%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.06	5	85%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	0.01	0.08	12	68%	0.01	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	48%	0.02	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Babb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	7	46%	0.03	3	-0.04	10	90%	0.03
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	4	87%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	31%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.00	-0.02	14	44%	-0.03	7	-0.10	4	25%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.7	27.5	15.8	25.1	2.4	25.7	122.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +29.8%

BOS -7.1%

GSW +5.3%

GSW +21.2%

GSW +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	BOS	NBA	GSW	BOS	NBA
this game	15.4	14.3	15.1	111.3	90.7	105.2
season	14.2	15.4		105.9	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.3		106.0	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.9	16.5	15.6	15.6	15.4
BOS	16.1	13.5	14.4	13.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	44	45	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.32	26	-6	32	14.5	16.2	-1.70	16.5	12.4	4.15
Stephen Curry	42	43	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.38	28	-8	36	14.3	16.2	-1.97	17.0	12.1	4.92
Andrew Bogut	45	47	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.34	26	-6	32	14.4	16.3	-1.91	16.3	12.4	3.90
Klay Thompson	55	55	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.34	26	-6	32	14.7	16.3	-1.68	15.4	12.8	2.60
David Lee	48	48	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.39	27	-7	34	14.7	16.0	-1.25	16.2	12.5	3.68
Jermaine O'Neal	26	25	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.07	6	14	-8	17.6	14.6	3.00	11.6	15.2	-3.65
Draymond Green	49	49	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.30	-7	27	-34	16.0	14.7	1.25	12.5	16.2	-3.68
Steve Blake	57	56	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.23	-6	26	-32	16.2	14.2	2.05	12.4	16.9	-4.53
Harrison Barnes	53	52	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.23	-6	26	-32	16.2	14.5	1.70	12.4	16.5	-4.15
Jordan Crawford	41	40	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.34	-10	30	-40	16.0	15.0	0.99	12.5	15.6	-3.08
Marreese Speights	25	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	30	-40	15.6	15.3	0.24	13.2	14.7	-1.44

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Anthony	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-26	32	11.6	14.6	-3.04	13.1	15.6	-2.50
Chris Johnson	54	54	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.26	6	-26	32	13.1	15.8	-2.74	15.6	15.1	0.48
Phil Pressey	24	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-22	24	11.5	15.2	-3.73	14.9	15.6	-0.68
Chris Babb	49	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-24	28	12.7	16.0	-3.31	16.0	14.7	1.22
Kelly Olynyk	56	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-22	24	12.4	17.0	-4.62	16.7	13.5	3.12
Jared Sullinger	50	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	-7	-6	14.8	13.8	1.05	15.2	15.5	-0.30
Kris Humphries	32	30	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.10	-12	-8	-4	14.7	14.1	0.61	15.9	15.2	0.70
Brandon Bass	47	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.32	-23	3	-26	16.3	12.4	3.94	14.0	16.5	-2.49
Jeff Green	48	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.31	-24	4	-28	16.0	12.7	3.31	14.7	16.0	-1.22
Rajon Rondo	73	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.23	-22	2	-24	15.2	11.5	3.73	15.6	14.9	0.68
Jerryd Bayless	43	43	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.34	-26	6	-32	15.8	13.1	2.74	15.1	15.6	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 126, NYK 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
MIA 106, DET 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
BOS 107, CHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%