inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 106 Excitement2.6 [1248] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +10.1%
Detroit Pistons 92 Comeback1.0 [1218] LVPTracy McGrady (DET): -8.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.120.000.021567%0.121-0.026100%0.02
Mike Miller0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.120.000.04984%0.081-0.001100%0.00
Eddie House0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.00-0.02757%0.0600.0000%0.00
James Jones0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.020.01157%0.0400.00580%-0.00
Chris Bosh0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.00-0.00-0.021057%0.043-0.021090%0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.02771%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Juwan Howard0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.03762%0.014-0.01250%0.00
Joel Anthony-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02217%0.001-0.02250%-0.00
LeBron James-0.030,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.031743%0.013-0.04367%-0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Will Bynum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00-0.04450%0.0310.004100%0.01
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.08-0.000.061359%0.0200.001100%0.01
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00-0.001150%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Greg Monroe0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.02567%0.021-0.012100%0.01
Ben Wallace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.022100%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rodney Stuckey0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.041235%0.001-0.01250%-0.01
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.09-0.00-0.08925%-0.011-0.00250%0.00
Austin Daye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.070.000.111360%-0.0510.00475%-0.00
Chris Wilcox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.010.02333%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.010.01656%-0.015-0.074100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.732.317.524.91.831.2134.6
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +29.9%
MIA +9.2%
MIA +6.9%
MIA +4.8%
DET -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADETNBAMIADETNBA
this game14.516.115.5112.897.9105.7
season16.016.7109.0106.4
opponent15.215.6110.1102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.713.015.315.214.5
DET15.917.019.013.016.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Bosh72710.460.040.41-0.1621-72814.215.6-1.3717.511.85.71
Dwyane Wade71710.440.060.38-0.1219-52414.116.0-1.9317.511.85.71
LeBron James65660.390.110.29-0.0515-11614.614.40.2416.814.42.43
Eddie House38370.310.190.120.0595413.815.1-1.3115.116.7-1.58
Mike Miller60610.280.220.060.16410-614.514.50.0214.219.5-5.27
Joel Anthony49490.270.230.030.24113-1214.614.40.1913.618.8-5.27
Zydrunas Ilgauskas40400.150.35-0.19-0.0886215.014.20.8018.814.14.79
Mario Chalmers52520.140.36-0.230.19-216-1815.014.01.0716.415.70.65
James Jones15160.060.44-0.380.03113-1216.414.22.2112.516.8-4.33
Juwan Howard870.000.50-0.500.18-620-2615.214.50.7710.116.6-6.43

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Maxiell1113-0.00-0.500.50-0.238-22309.816.9-7.1115.014.50.53
Austin Daye4849-0.03-0.470.44-0.3511-253612.919.4-6.5415.613.42.23
Will Bynum4042-0.09-0.410.32-0.276-202613.418.1-4.7415.114.11.04
Chris Wilcox2928-0.16-0.340.180.07-8-6-216.116.10.0114.514.5-0.01
Ben Wallace3535-0.21-0.290.080.05-9-5-418.914.44.4914.314.7-0.32
Ben Gordon5655-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.17-3-11815.117.6-2.4914.514.50.01
Charlie Villanueva4143-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.10-6-8214.517.3-2.7714.514.6-0.06
Rodney Stuckey4646-0.33-0.17-0.160.11-151-1617.514.82.7114.214.9-0.76
Greg Monroe5150-0.34-0.16-0.180.16-173-2018.213.74.5114.514.6-0.09
Tayshaun Prince5957-0.39-0.11-0.290.11-173-2017.413.93.4314.015.4-1.33
Tracy McGrady5452-0.41-0.09-0.320.18-206-2618.113.44.7414.115.1-1.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 108, BOS 880.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.4%
SEA 103, NOH 850.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.1%
CHI 110, TOR 930.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.8%