NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	103		Excitement	2.4 [1268]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +19.9%
New Orleans Hornets	85		Comeback	1.2 [539]		LVP	Dan Dickau (NOH): -5.8%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.20	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.25	0.00	0.06	11	100%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	20	60%	0.10	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	61%	0.02	3	-0.01	5	80%	-0.01
Robert Swift	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	8	72%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	9	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Jerome James	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	7	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	2	56%	0.02	1	-0.00	5	20%	-0.01
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Maciej Lampe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackson Vroman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.00	0.07	11	73%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.03	4	78%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.04	7	61%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	3	62%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	9	28%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	13	50%	-0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.6	27.2	15.4	23.4	2.6	28.3	123.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +21.8%

SEA +7.6%

SEA +14.3%

SEA +4.1%

SEA +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	NOH	NBA	SEA	NOH	NBA
this game	17.2	15.9	15.5	118.4	97.7	104.0
season	16.5	16.5		109.5	97.7
opponent	15.7	15.6		105.2	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	19.7	14.0	18.7	16.7	17.2
NOH	15.3	17.2	15.6	15.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	67	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	1	16	17.7	15.4	2.28	16.5	13.8	2.72
Rashard Lewis	59	61	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.16	20	-2	22	16.9	17.8	-0.91	16.4	14.7	1.77
Nick Collison	37	37	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	10	-2	17.4	17.1	0.30	15.8	16.0	-0.15
Luke Ridnour	50	49	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.08	14	4	10	18.2	15.9	2.34	15.2	16.8	-1.59
Antonio Daniels	58	58	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	12	-6	16.1	19.4	-3.31	15.8	16.2	-0.41
Ronald Murray	45	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.05	8	10	-2	15.4	19.2	-3.79	16.3	15.5	0.77
Reggie Evans	47	47	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	8	2	18.3	15.9	2.42	15.6	16.2	-0.61
Jerome James	24	24	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.09	9	9	0	19.0	16.5	2.42	16.4	15.7	0.66
Robert Swift	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	15.7	17.5	-1.78	13.0	16.4	-3.36
Vladimir Radmanovic	35	34	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.02	-1	19	-20	17.1	17.2	-0.11	15.6	16.1	-0.46

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maciej Lampe	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	13.0	16.4	-3.41	15.7	17.5	-1.78
Jackson Vroman	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	13.0	16.4	-3.41	15.7	17.5	-1.78
Chris Andersen	33	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-17	16	16.6	15.4	1.19	17.0	17.4	-0.39
Lee Nailon	39	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-14	10	16.1	15.8	0.28	17.8	16.7	1.05
Baron Davis	32	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	-12	6	16.6	15.5	1.05	17.6	16.9	0.69
Bostjan Nachbar	33	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.16	1	-19	20	15.6	16.1	-0.52	17.6	16.9	0.69
Casey Jacobsen	39	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-13	8	16.5	15.4	1.02	17.5	16.9	0.64
J.R. Smith	48	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-5	-8	15.4	16.5	-1.02	16.9	17.5	-0.64
Dan Dickau	55	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-6	-6	15.5	16.6	-1.05	16.9	17.6	-0.69
Rodney Rogers	37	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	-3	-12	16.3	15.6	0.70	17.1	17.3	-0.16
George Lynch	52	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.22	-21	3	-24	16.4	15.1	1.31	16.9	17.6	-0.66
P.J. Brown	41	40	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.18	-20	2	-22	16.2	15.6	0.61	17.9	16.6	1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 107, MIA 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
MIA 106, DET 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
TOR 98, CHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%