NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	98		Excitement	2.5 [1200]		MVP	Dee Brown (TOR): +13.8%
Chicago Bulls	79		Comeback	1.0 [1080]		LVP	Chris Carr (CHI): -7.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dee Brown	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.00	-0.03	13	73%	0.14	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.03	8	81%	0.12	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	15	56%	0.07	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	13	61%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	83%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
John Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.04	0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	6	50%	-0.00	3	-0.04	8	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	6	81%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	14	57%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	12	44%	-0.07	1	-0.00	12	67%	-0.02
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	9	35%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	25.2	15.8	24.2	2.5	26.4	122.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +47.0%

CHI -8.4%

TOR +2.4%

TOR +5.6%

TOR +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHI	NBA	TOR	CHI	NBA
this game	16.9	15.6	15.2	110.1	89.8	101.7
season	15.5	16.5		101.8	91.8
opponent	14.9	14.9		102.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.9	16.9	16.7	21.0	16.9
CHI	14.9	18.2	15.3	14.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Muggsy Bogues	56	55	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.21	21	-2	23	15.8	18.9	-3.09	15.3	16.0	-0.68
Charles Oakley	49	50	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	8	3	15.3	18.9	-3.57	16.5	14.4	2.03
Antonio Davis	56	57	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.11	16	3	13	15.8	18.8	-2.95	15.5	15.9	-0.41
Dee Brown	41	39	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.13	16	3	13	18.0	16.0	1.93	15.6	15.6	0.07
Tracy McGrady	64	62	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	9	1	16.3	18.6	-2.32	15.3	16.4	-1.17
Vince Carter	65	66	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	15	-11	17.4	15.8	1.56	15.8	14.9	0.92
Kevin Willis	54	52	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.21	17	2	15	17.0	16.9	0.12	15.0	16.4	-1.38
Dell Curry	42	43	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.11	1	18	-17	18.2	15.8	2.47	15.7	15.5	0.28
Michael Stewart	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	23.5	15.9	7.59	16.7	15.4	1.29
Alvin Williams	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	17	-15	23.7	16.6	7.14	14.3	15.6	-1.31
John Thomas	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	17	-15	23.0	16.8	6.21	14.5	15.6	-1.13

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Benjamin	30	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-18	17	14.0	16.4	-2.48	19.0	15.9	3.17
B.J. Armstrong	41	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.00	-6	-13	7	14.7	16.4	-1.68	17.4	16.5	0.89
Matt Maloney	33	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-10	1	15.6	15.6	-0.04	15.6	17.7	-2.04
Chris Anstey	29	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.20	-13	-6	-7	14.6	16.1	-1.46	16.9	17.0	-0.10
Will Perdue	35	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-16	13	16.6	14.9	1.70	15.6	17.8	-2.17
Elton Brand	72	72	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-17	15	15.6	15.8	-0.26	17.1	16.4	0.64
Michael Ruffin	40	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.24	-20	1	-21	15.5	15.7	-0.19	17.9	16.1	1.80
Hersey Hawkins	62	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.08	-15	-4	-11	15.9	14.9	1.02	16.3	18.5	-2.16
Metta World Peace	67	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-12	5	16.4	13.0	3.36	17.1	16.5	0.54
Chris Carr	31	33	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.18	-19	0	-19	16.1	15.4	0.71	16.6	17.1	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 97, PHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	96.8%
SEA 103, NOH 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
ATL 99, SEA 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%