NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	97		Excitement	2.8 [1186]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (ATL): +12.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	83		Comeback	1.0 [294]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -10.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.00	0.01	21	73%	0.18	4	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Dion Glover	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	11	68%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.01	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	12	53%	-0.00	1	-0.01	14	79%	-0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	4	60%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Mike Wilks	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	7	45%	-0.00	4	-0.04	6	83%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Efthimios Rentzias	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Satterfield	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	13	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	11	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Aaron McKie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	17	26%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	0.08	28	56%	-0.03	5	-0.06	10	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.7	26.3	14.6	25.5	2.5	29.5	126.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +41.9%

ATL +6.2%

ATL +4.9%

PHI -2.8%

PHI -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.1	15.7	15.5	107.8	91.2	101.6
season	15.1	15.3		99.5	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.7		99.9	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.3	13.7	17.4	18.2	16.1
PHI	16.7	16.9	15.4	13.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Wilks	79	78	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.14	12	2	10	16.6	12.7	3.89	15.9	14.4	1.51
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	72	75	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.00	16	-2	18	16.7	14.1	2.61	15.5	16.4	-0.92
Theo Ratliff	61	63	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.03	15	-1	16	16.1	16.1	0.01	15.7	15.6	0.16
Dion Glover	66	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.13	9	5	4	15.8	17.0	-1.11	15.7	15.7	-0.09
Glenn Robinson	70	73	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	4	6	15.9	16.8	-0.91	15.6	15.9	-0.26
Darvin Ham	8	6	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	10	-6	13.9	16.4	-2.49	21.3	15.3	6.05
Corey Benjamin	24	23	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.08	6	8	-2	16.5	16.0	0.48	15.0	15.9	-0.91
Nazr Mohammed	29	28	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	15	-16	16.1	16.1	-0.01	15.6	15.7	-0.16
Alan Henderson	28	28	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.19	-4	18	-22	16.0	16.2	-0.21	14.5	16.2	-1.76
Dan Dickau	13	14	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	11	-8	14.0	16.5	-2.51	16.9	15.5	1.39

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Efthimios Rentzias	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-12	10	13.0	15.7	-2.74	13.0	16.2	-3.22
Kenny Satterfield	3	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-12	10	8.7	15.9	-7.25	13.0	16.2	-3.22
John Salmons	39	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-8	2	16.2	15.3	0.87	15.5	16.6	-1.16
Derrick Coleman	43	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-7	0	15.6	15.8	-0.19	16.1	16.1	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	72	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-12	10	15.9	14.8	1.06	17.0	12.8	4.25
Brian Skinner	64	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.08	-15	1	-16	15.6	15.9	-0.35	15.2	18.1	-2.90
Aaron McKie	71	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-4	-6	15.8	15.1	0.75	16.9	13.5	3.34
Allen Iverson	78	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	-5	-4	15.6	16.5	-0.91	15.9	18.0	-2.09
Eric Snow	83	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.03	-17	3	-20	15.7	15.6	0.06	16.1	16.6	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 98, OKC 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.8%
TOR 98, CHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
BOS 120, ORL 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.42,0.34,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%