NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	112		Excitement	2.5 [1202]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +14.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	90		Comeback	1.0 [1197]		LVP	Joe Smith (MIN): -5.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.00	0.01	17	76%	0.17	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	0.00	0.04	16	72%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.06	4	90%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	45%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Dean Garrett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	9	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Terrell Brandon	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	-0.08	13	39%	-0.01	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	8	41%	-0.01	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	13	64%	0.04	2	-0.03	10	70%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	56%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Keith Closs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Charles R. Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etdrick Bohannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	2	62%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.06	11	54%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	9	35%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.01	-0.06	7	50%	-0.02	4	-0.03	8	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	30.0	15.5	26.6	1.8	28.5	127.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +31.0%

LAC -2.5%

MIN +7.8%

MIN +12.7%

MIN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAC	NBA	MIN	LAC	NBA
this game	15.6	16.4	15.2	123.1	101.1	101.7
season	15.1	15.6		103.5	95.5
opponent	14.3	15.7		107.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.1	14.3	13.4	20.0	15.6
LAC	18.5	17.8	15.4	14.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrell Brandon	63	60	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.44	34	-12	46	15.4	16.0	-0.58	17.7	13.9	3.74
Wally Szczerbiak	64	61	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.31	29	-7	36	14.3	18.6	-4.31	17.5	14.1	3.42
Rasho Nesterovic	71	67	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.17	24	-2	26	15.5	15.8	-0.31	17.3	13.7	3.62
Kevin Garnett	67	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.36	28	-6	34	15.0	17.2	-2.24	17.6	13.1	4.46
Malik Sealy	51	49	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.29	23	-1	24	14.7	16.6	-1.85	16.7	16.1	0.59
Anthony Peeler	33	33	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	22	-22	16.8	14.8	1.97	18.0	15.6	2.42
Joe Smith	31	31	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.25	-8	30	-38	16.5	15.0	1.50	16.2	16.6	-0.34
Dean Garrett	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	17.8	15.4	2.37	5.6	17.1	-11.50
William Avery	7	7	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	23	-24	15.6	15.6	0.01	7.4	17.2	-9.79
Tom Hammonds	8	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	24	-26	15.9	15.5	0.34	7.4	17.3	-9.97
Sam Mitchell	27	28	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.16	-7	29	-36	18.6	14.3	4.31	14.1	17.5	-3.42
Bobby Jackson	28	29	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.29	-12	34	-46	16.0	15.4	0.58	13.9	17.7	-3.74

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Closs	56	57	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-24	26	14.3	20.1	-5.74	16.5	13.9	2.59
Charles R. Jones	37	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.12	3	-25	28	12.9	19.0	-6.09	17.6	14.0	3.55
Etdrick Bohannon	39	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-19	16	13.4	18.8	-5.36	17.1	14.3	2.80
Derek Anderson	32	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	-14	6	19.4	14.8	4.62	13.8	16.6	-2.83
Eric Piatkowski	42	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.21	-14	-8	-6	13.7	18.9	-5.18	14.4	16.5	-2.04
Lamar Odom	48	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-10	-2	15.8	17.2	-1.47	14.8	16.5	-1.68
Maurice Taylor	50	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.06	-12	-10	-2	18.9	13.3	5.55	16.2	14.8	1.35
Jeff McInnis	48	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.23	-19	-3	-16	17.6	15.1	2.42	14.5	16.7	-2.13
Tyrone Nesby	47	49	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	-3	-16	18.7	13.9	4.86	16.4	14.6	1.75
Michael Olowokandi	46	48	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.24	-28	6	-34	19.5	13.2	6.22	14.0	17.3	-3.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 92, ORL 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
TOR 115, NOP 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
HOU 108, POR 81	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%