NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	115		Excitement	2.3 [1277]		MVP	Luis Scola (TOR): +11.6%
New Orleans Pelicans	91		Comeback	1.0 [1258]		LVP	Dante Cunningham (NOP): -8.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	5	120%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	0.00	0.06	7	94%	0.09	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.16	0.01	0.08	11	88%	0.11	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Norman Powell	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	11	60%	0.05	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	87%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Delon Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucas Nogueira	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bruno Caboclo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	5	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	8	61%	0.01	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	13	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	11	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	12	64%	0.06	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	60%	0.01	2	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.05	10	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	6	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	10	39%	-0.06	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	14	38%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	12	27%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.6	2.5	27.5	15.7	25.1	2.3	28.7	121.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +49.7%

TOR +6.1%

TOR +4.4%

NOP -9.3%

NOP -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NOP	NBA	TOR	NOP	NBA
this game	15.5	15.5	14.9	122.3	98.9	105.1
season	16.1	14.3		107.2	104.3
opponent	15.0	14.8		107.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.5	14.7	14.0	16.8	15.5
NOP	16.2	17.3	15.5	13.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	52	51	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.24	27	-3	30	14.5	16.6	-2.08	16.2	14.6	1.56
Norman Powell	65	64	0.52	-0.01	0.53	-0.16	23	1	22	15.8	14.8	0.93	15.8	14.7	1.13
Kyle Lowry	55	55	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.33	28	-4	32	14.9	16.2	-1.30	16.5	14.0	2.46
DeMar DeRozan	60	58	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.18	23	1	22	14.7	16.8	-2.03	16.1	14.6	1.49
Luis Scola	42	41	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.20	17	7	10	15.2	15.7	-0.54	15.9	15.2	0.73
Patrick Patterson	37	37	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.09	10	14	-4	15.0	15.8	-0.77	16.9	14.5	2.42
Cory Joseph	50	48	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	27	-30	16.1	14.7	1.35	15.6	15.4	0.17
Delon Wright	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	14.9	15.5	-0.65	9.1	16.1	-6.98
Jason Thompson	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	27	-30	17.5	15.1	2.38	10.5	16.4	-5.90
Lucas Nogueira	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	21	-18	13.1	15.7	-2.51	9.6	16.0	-6.42
Bruno Caboclo	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	24	-24	11.3	15.7	-4.42	7.5	16.1	-8.56
James Johnson	38	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	25	-26	16.9	14.5	2.35	15.1	15.7	-0.61
Bismack Biyombo	35	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	30	-36	17.3	14.4	2.94	15.7	15.4	0.28

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hamilton	47	48	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-25	26	14.7	16.4	-1.72	16.0	15.0	1.00
Kendrick Perkins	29	30	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.10	-3	-21	18	17.0	14.8	2.24	15.8	15.3	0.49
Luke Babbitt	54	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-20	16	15.0	16.2	-1.26	15.0	16.2	-1.19
Alexis Ajinca	41	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-13	2	14.4	16.4	-2.00	15.9	15.1	0.81
Tim Frazier	54	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-15	6	15.4	15.6	-0.18	15.9	14.8	1.15
Toney Douglas	43	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.26	-21	-3	-18	16.1	15.0	1.07	14.6	16.2	-1.68
Dante Cunningham	67	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.13	-21	-3	-18	16.1	13.9	2.22	15.9	14.4	1.51
Omer Asik	45	46	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.20	-25	1	-26	16.4	14.7	1.72	15.0	16.0	-1.00
Alonzo Gee	80	81	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	0.23	-27	3	-30	15.1	18.2	-3.07	15.3	16.8	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 103, HOU 85	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
NOH 112, LAC 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
MIN 112, LAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%