NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	92		Excitement	3.0 [1201]		MVP	Wes Iwundu (ORL): +2.9%
Orlando Magic	83		Comeback	1.2 [1117]		LVP	Jonathon Simmons (ORL): -9.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Larkin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Abdel Nader	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	6	61%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	8	71%	0.04	3	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Terry Rozier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	13	53%	0.01	3	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Al Horford	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	18	39%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jayson Tatum	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	-0.08	8	44%	0.01	5	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	15	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.06	8	25%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	11	54%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.04
Rodney Purvis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	57%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	13	55%	-0.02	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	14	43%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	0.04	11	46%	-0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	15	39%	-0.05	4	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	24.6	14.5	28.4	1.7	30.2	127.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +18.3%

BOS +5.6%

BOS +23.1%

BOS +5.3%

ORL -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ORL	NBA	BOS	ORL	NBA
this game	14.4	15.3	14.7	93.9	86.5	107.5
season	15.1	14.6		106.4	104.2
opponent	14.5	14.7		109.1	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.2	16.6	13.5	13.8	14.4
ORL	15.8	16.9	14.8	13.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	61	60	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.14	22	-13	35	14.4	14.5	-0.12	16.2	13.7	2.51
Terry Rozier	68	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.16	21	-12	33	13.8	15.9	-2.06	15.7	14.2	1.48
Jayson Tatum	61	58	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.02	16	-7	23	14.5	14.4	0.05	15.6	14.8	0.74
Aron Baynes	44	42	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.11	18	-9	27	14.8	14.2	0.61	16.5	14.3	2.29
Marcus Morris	65	63	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	-1	11	15.1	13.1	1.99	15.9	14.1	1.78
Shane Larkin	41	39	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.33	-6	15	-21	15.0	14.1	0.88	14.2	16.0	-1.82
Abdel Nader	51	52	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.39	-11	20	-31	14.4	14.5	-0.14	14.1	16.7	-2.62
Semi Ojeleye	48	48	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.38	-11	20	-31	13.8	15.1	-1.27	14.8	15.7	-0.90
Greg Monroe	45	44	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.40	-12	21	-33	14.8	14.1	0.75	14.4	16.0	-1.61
Guerschon Yabusele	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	11.3	14.6	-3.31	10.2	15.6	-5.43

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Purvis	26	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.27	8	-17	25	15.5	15.2	0.28	17.2	13.5	3.71
Bismack Biyombo	40	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-8	7	15.6	15.0	0.67	14.7	14.3	0.44
Wes Iwundu	39	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.20	3	-12	15	14.8	15.6	-0.78	15.5	13.7	1.74
Shelvin Mack	54	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.40	9	-18	27	14.3	16.5	-2.29	14.4	14.5	-0.11
Jonathan Isaac	47	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-3	-3	16.3	14.3	1.95	16.4	12.6	3.78
Khem Birch	30	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-1	-7	14.3	15.7	-1.35	13.8	14.7	-0.88
D.J. Augustin	61	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	2	-13	15.4	14.9	0.50	13.9	15.4	-1.50
Nikola Vucevic	56	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	15.0	15.6	-0.67	14.3	14.7	-0.44
Mario Hezonja	59	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	5	-19	15.7	14.5	1.26	13.3	16.3	-3.02
Jonathon Simmons	68	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	8	-25	15.4	15.0	0.42	13.4	17.4	-4.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 105, NYK 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
MIN 112, LAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
MIA 88, MIL 67	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%