inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 88 Excitement2.7 [1218] MVPJames Jones (MIA): +5.8%
Milwaukee Bucks 67 Comeback1.2 [1225] LVPBrandon Knight (MIL): -9.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Jones0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.09-0.000.03683%0.0600.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.011054%0.0400.004100%0.02
Chris Bosh0.040,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.00-0.011054%0.051-0.016100%0.02
Shane Battier0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.00-0.04350%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.00-0.04840%0.0200.00450%-0.00
LeBron James0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.04-0.00-0.041054%0.064-0.06450%-0.01
Justin Hamilton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05467%0.0000.001100%0.00
Michael Beasley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.02450%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Toney Douglas-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.000.031059%-0.003-0.032100%0.01
Norris Cole-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.10-0.00-0.04825%-0.012-0.0400%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Henson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.00-0.031150%0.0500.0020%0.00
Miroslav Raduljica0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Ekpe Udoh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.001-0.0000%0.00
DJ Stephens0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.000.03545%-0.0200.001100%0.00
Khris Middleton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.021145%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.03633%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.12-0.00-0.0658%-0.032-0.04250%-0.01
Ramon Sessions0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.011543%-0.044-0.03580%0.00
Jeff Adrien0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.01533%-0.023-0.062100%0.01
Brandon Knight0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.010.011836%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.12.528.316.524.42.625.3125.7
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +28.8%
MIA +8.4%
MIA +2.4%
MIA +8.0%
MIA +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAMILNBAMIAMILNBA
this game17.517.415.1107.380.7105.2
season15.615.7109.7101.4
opponent15.115.8109.7105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA18.018.716.916.617.5
MIL16.220.218.215.417.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James50510.470.030.44-0.091921717.717.20.4117.617.00.62
Toney Douglas68680.410.090.32-0.091741317.219.1-1.8917.317.7-0.40
James Jones45450.380.120.26-0.06156917.517.5-0.0717.717.10.66
Chris Bosh44440.340.160.18-0.04138517.517.6-0.1018.316.41.89
Shane Battier46470.330.170.16-0.08147717.717.20.5017.617.20.33
Chris Andersen36370.200.30-0.10-0.03813-518.916.42.4318.017.01.02
Rashard Lewis33350.170.33-0.16-0.07813-517.517.50.0317.917.10.77
Norris Cole46470.120.38-0.25-0.05615-917.817.10.6917.317.6-0.36
Udonis Haslem28290.080.42-0.35-0.07516-1116.018.3-2.3316.817.7-0.89
Justin Hamilton760.000.50-0.500.00021-2116.617.6-1.0210.817.9-7.09
Michael Beasley760.000.50-0.500.00021-2116.617.6-1.0210.817.9-7.09

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Miroslav Raduljica660.00-0.500.500.000-212110.817.9-7.0916.317.6-1.26
DJ Stephens2019-0.07-0.430.370.02-3-181517.317.4-0.0816.717.7-1.06
Jeff Adrien2728-0.11-0.390.270.03-5-161117.117.5-0.3916.518.0-1.57
Ekpe Udoh3937-0.16-0.340.190.08-8-13516.618.1-1.4517.617.40.12
Zaza Pachulia3233-0.21-0.290.070.05-9-12317.617.30.3517.117.8-0.63
Giannis Antetokounmpo3634-0.26-0.24-0.010.09-12-9-317.717.20.5518.317.01.31
John Henson4947-0.33-0.17-0.160.08-14-7-718.216.31.9418.316.41.87
Khris Middleton6668-0.42-0.08-0.330.05-16-5-1117.616.80.8117.617.00.60
Ramon Sessions7372-0.46-0.04-0.420.09-19-2-1717.516.90.5817.219.9-2.73
Brandon Knight6766-0.48-0.02-0.460.08-19-2-1717.517.10.3517.716.61.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 99, BOS 880.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,097.1%
DET 84, NJN 710.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.0%
MIL 105, NYK 810.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.0%